To The Moon

I think Samsung’s challenge isn’t whether it can build 2nm, but whether it can turn that technology into stable yields, major orders and repeat customers. $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ ’s real moat is its ecosystem and execution, not simply node leadership. Samsung needs strategic AI customers to trust it with multiple generations of chips. I’m most bullish on HBM and advanced packaging for the next AI cycle. $SK hynix(SKHY)$ is already converting AI demand into profits, cash flow and shareholder returns, which makes its position particularly attractive. For me, SK hynix is the proven AI-memory winner, while Samsung is the potential turnaround story. If Samsung can regain major foundry custom

TSMC is still winning the bulk of foundry orders because “having the technology” is only half the battle—execution, trust, yields, scale, and business model matter just as much (or more). TSMC holds roughly 70-73% of global pure-play foundry revenue while Samsung sits at ~6.5-7%. That gap has actually widened in recent quarters despite Samsung’s push on 2nm GAA and some high-profile wins (Tesla AI chips, some Nvidia/Broadcom work, HBM-related logic, etc.). Here’s why the big customers (Apple, Nvidia, AMD, Qualcomm, Broadcom, etc.) keep pouring most of their leading-edge volume into TSMC: 1. Yields and process maturity Samsung has competitive process tech and was earlier with GAA at 3nm, but yields on advanced nodes have lagged. Reports put Samsung’s 2nm around the mid-50s to low-60s perce

I would wait for Warsh’s tone, while keeping a core long-tech position rather than rotating aggressively into rate-sensitive assets yet. The key signal is that Treasury’s intervention only produced a temporary rally. The long end quickly returned to concerns over deficits, inflation and term premium. The 30-year yield has been around multi-decade highs, while the 10-year has remained near 4.7%.  My positioning: Core: Stay long quality tech. AI earnings and structural capex remain powerful, although high long-term yields are the main valuation risk. Nvidia earnings on 26 August could provide another catalyst.  Do not chase rate-sensitive assets yet. Banks, REITs, small caps and long-duration bonds could rally sharply if Warsh signals easier policy, but they could suffer if he emph

I would watch margins next quarter, while giving Alibaba a modest cloud re-rating. The bullish case is real: Cloud and Compute grew 45%, its strongest growth in 22 quarters, while cloud adjusted EBITA jumped 133% and margin expanded to about 12%. AI product revenue has also delivered triple-digit growth for 12 consecutive quarters.  But I would not fully re-rate BABA on cloud growth yet. The problem is capital intensity. Capex rose 75% to RMB67.7bn, while GAAP net profit fell roughly 75%. Management is effectively exchanging near-term earnings and free cash flow for future AI capacity.  The crucial question is therefore not whether AI demand exists. It clearly does. It is whether cloud revenue and margins can grow faster than AI infrastructure spending. My hierarchy: 1. Cloud gro

Grateful for the Gains, Looking Ahead A little reflection on Tesla, SpaceX, and the opportunities that come with staying patient and disciplined in the markets. Tesla continues to be one of the most fascinating names in the market, with investors watching closely as the company pushes further into autonomy, robotics, Cybercab and the long-awaited Roadster. At the same time, SpaceX represents another major piece of the broader innovation story surrounding Elon Musk, from space technology and satellite connectivity to the possibilities that could reshape entire industries. For me, the biggest takeaway is not simply the price movement, but the importance of having the patience to let a trade develop and the discipline to take profits when the opportunity presents itself.  

Grateful for the Gains, Looking Ahead A little reflection on Tesla, SpaceX, and the opportunities that come with staying patient and disciplined in the markets. Tesla continues to be one of the most fascinating names in the market, with investors watching closely as the company pushes further into autonomy, robotics, Cybercab and the long-awaited Roadster. At the same time, SpaceX represents another major piece of the broader innovation story surrounding Elon Musk, from space technology and satellite connectivity to the possibilities that could reshape entire industries. For me, the biggest takeaway is not simply the price movement, but the importance of having the patience to let a trade develop and the discipline to take profits when the opportunity presents itself. I'm genuinely gratefu

Nvidia, Fed and AI: My Trading Plan for the Week The market has a big week ahead. Nvidia reports on 26 August, while the Jackson Hole symposium starts shortly after. Both could determine whether the recent AI-led rally resumes or faces another leg down. My main watchlist is $NVDA, $MU, $AVGO and $AMD. Nvidia is the key event because expectations are extremely high, with analysts looking for roughly US$92bn revenue. I would not chase NVDA before earnings. A strong guide could lift the whole AI semiconductor complex, while a disappointment could create a much better entry point. $MU is particularly interesting to me because rising AI server demand is driving strong memory requirements. Nvidia's reported price increases for AI servers, partly reflecting soaring memory costs, reinforce this th

💾Memory stocks bounced: SK Hynix +4.4%, Micron +4.0%, SanDisk +2.0%, while the inverse SNDQ fell −4.5%. The driver wasn’t demand, but payouts — SK Hynix confirmed a ₩40tn buyback, and Samsung pledged 50% of free cash flow.🐯 The bull case is dividends & torque. The bear case is downstream cost pressure — Xiaomi’s profit dented, Intel GPU prices +48%. My view: I’d wait for downstream acceptance before chasing. Without proof that end‑users can absorb higher costs, the rebound looks fragile.[Duh] @JC888 @Barcode @Aqa @DiAngel

📉🐯I’m going with A — SK Hynix. A 30% drop gives me a chance to buy at a discount[Surprised], while the ₩40tn buyback pledge adds strong support. 💰 Dividends + torque are attractive, but I’d rather wait for downstream acceptance before chasing stocks at all‑time highs. 🚀[Cool]@JC888 @Barcode @Aqa @DiAngel @Shyon @koolgal

Market watch: AI, Alibaba and Fed risk Today’s big theme is risk management before Nvidia earnings. Asian markets are subdued, while oil remains elevated as investors await further Iran-related developments. Nvidia is the key event this week, with the market expecting around US$92bn quarterly revenue, so any guidance surprise could move the entire AI complex. Alibaba is the standout mover: its HK$80bn share placement to fund AI triggered a sharp sell-off, with shares falling as much as 10%. The long-term AI investment story remains interesting, but dilution and the huge capex burden make this a “wait for stabilisation” trade rather than blindly buying the dip. Stocks on my watchlist: NVDA, MRVL, MU, BABA and TCEHY. My trading plan: I would not chase AI stocks ahead of Nvidia. Instead, keep

Singapore Stocks: Defensive Strength Meets a Stronger Economy The STI slipped 0.95% last week to 5,688.96, but the pullback looks more like consolidation than a breakdown. Gold-related names led the market, while Sembcorp, shipbuilders and selected Chinese SDRs remained resilient. The bigger story is Singapore’s economic backdrop. Q2 GDP growth was revised to 5.9% YoY, while MTI raised its 2026 growth forecast to 4.5%-5.5%, supported by strong AI-related investment and manufacturing demand. This week, investors should watch inflation and industrial data closely. July headline CPI came in at 2.2%, while core inflation was 2.0%, both below expectations—potentially easing pressure on monetary policy. For stocks, the key themes remain banks, gold, utilities and AI-linked infrastructure. The S

Markets Enter a High-Stakes Week Last week’s pullback was less a breakdown than a warning: expensive equities are becoming increasingly sensitive to interest rates. With the 30-year Treasury yield near 5.3% and U.S. debt above $40 trillion, investors are demanding a higher risk premium. This week could decide the next direction. The July PCE inflation report arrives Wednesday, while Fed Chair Kevin Warsh speaks at Jackson Hole Friday.  If inflation remains sticky and Warsh sounds hawkish, yields could rise further and pressure high-growth stocks. But the biggest equity catalyst is Nvidia’s earnings on Wednesday. Wall Street expects roughly $92–95 billion in revenue, making the report a major test of whether AI spending can justify today’s valuations. My view: stay selective rather th

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ is pushing deeper into AI software as its relationship with Perplexity expands beyond infrastructure. Nvidia is reportedly discussing an investment at a $30B valuation after previously considering a licensing deal for Perplexity’s technology and talent. 2 The next phase of HBM could push $Micron Technology(MU)$ and $SK hynix(SKHY)$ further up AI value chain as memory moves directly on top of the GPU. zHBM would collapse memory and compute into one 3D package eliminating the 2.5D interposer and increasing the value memory suppliers can