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09-02 15:03
Why Medtronic’s Extra Selling Week Makes Its Growth Quality More Important Than the Headline
$Medtronic PLC(MDT)$’s latest quarter supports a stronger medical-device growth story, but the headline requires adjustment. An extra fiscal week contributed meaningfully to sales, making it inappropriate to extrapolate the reported growth rate across the rest of the year. Medtronic reported on September 1 for the quarter ended July 31. Revenue reached $9.756 billion, up 13.7%, and adjusted EPS was $1.45. Management estimated that the additional week contributed approximately $570 million. Adjusted operating margin increased only 10 basis points to 23.7%, despite the strong sales comparison. Medtronic’s official release explicitly identifies the calendar benefit. The bullish case is product-led growth beneath that distortion. Cardiovascular devices
TOPDIMCO: I agree the extra week muddies the headline, but the cleaner read is still solid. Cardio and neuro growth matter more here than 13.7% on paper.
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09-02 14:59
Why Palo Alto’s Earnings Beat Could Not Protect Its Cash-Flow Premium
$Palo Alto Networks(PANW)$ delivered strong subscription growth, but its earnings reaction exposed a distinction between an essential product and an attractive stock. Cybersecurity demand can remain robust while shareholders demand more cash generation from a business expanding through acquisitions. The company reported after the September 1 close for the quarter ended July 31. Revenue rose 34% to $3.41 billion, next-generation security annual recurring revenue increased 63% to $9.10 billion and remaining performance obligations reached $21.2 billion. Adjusted EPS was $1.02, while GAAP results showed a $282 million net loss. Fiscal-2027 guidance calls for $14.10–$14.20 billion of revenue and a 38% adjusted free-cash-flow margin. Palo Alto’s offici
TOP376 is the pivot here. Above that, the cash flow worry fades fast; below it, this still looks rangebound and heavy.
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09-02 14:57
Shein IPO: From $100B Hype to a $26B Public-Market Test
$希音-W(00625)$ Shein has finally reached the public market. The company listed in Hong Kong under 00625 HK / SHEIN-W, with an IPO price of HK$48.56 and an implied valuation of about US$26bn-26.5bn. That is a very different number from the near US$100bn private-market valuation Shein once commanded in 2022. The key lesson is not just about Shein. It is about the gap between private-market storytelling and public-market discipline. In private markets, growth, scale and user momentum can carry the valuation. In public markets, investors also price profit durability, regulation, tariffs, supply-chain risk, competition and cash-flow visibility. Shein’s IPO is therefore more than a fast-fashion listing. It is a real-time test of whether cro
TOPPublic markets really are forcing the valuation reset here. That drop from 100B to 26B says profit durability matters way more than the growth story now lol
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08-30
Mastering SGX's Newest High Leverage Gold & Silver DLCs 🌟🌟🌟Welcome to the ultimate precision toolset for macro scalpers. The launch of Societe Generale's first ever Gold and Silver Daily Leverage Certificates or DLCs on the SGX represents a massive structural upgrade for directional traders across Asia. By tracking the world's most liquid precious metals ETFs $SPDR Gold ETF(GLD)$
TOP5x leverage is wild, but I still care more about how that airbag reset behaves in a fast flush. Backtests on similar products usually lag right where panic hits.
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09-02 14:22
Software Stocks Are Surging After Earnings— Is It Too Late to Buy?
Software stocks are having a strong earnings season. Atlassian jumped 35.31% after results. Doximity gained 32.62%. Palantir rose 29.45%. And the rally is broader than just AI. A number of software companies are being rewarded for the same three things: stronger growth, better profitability and more bullish guidance. First, investors are paying up for visible growth again. $Atlassian Corporation PLC(TEAM)$ reported revenue growth of 28%, with cloud revenue up 31% and RPO up 44%. The company also raised its outlook. $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ was another standout. Revenue surged 93%, while U.S. commercial revenue jumped 149%. Management also raised its full-year forecast. That combination — strong
TOPIf I could only pick one, I’d go with $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ . The combination of 93% revenue growth, 149% U.S. commercial growth and raised guidance is hard to ignore. More importantly, I see Palantir benefiting from both AI adoption and broader enterprise software spending, giving it multiple growth drivers. That said, I wouldn’t ignore the valuation risk. At these growth rates, expectations are already extremely high, so even a strong earnings report could trigger a pullback if guidance disappoints. I’d rather DCA into PLTR than chase a big post-earnings rally. $Atlassian Corporation PLC(TEAM)$ , $Salesforce.com(CRM)$ and $Cloudflare, Inc.(NET)$ all have compelling fundamentals, but for me PLTR has the strongest growth profile and AI exposure. I’m comfortable accepting the higher volatility because I’m investing with a longer-term horizon rather than trading the next earnings reaction. @Tiger_comments @TigerStars @TigerClub @TigerObserver @Tiger_Earnings
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09-02 11:33
Weak economy, US Market at risk but Oil ?
For the week ending 28 Aug 2026, US 3 major composite indexes closed moderately higher despite a late-week selloff. (see below) 3 Composite Indexes performances: DJIA : Ticked up +0.56% (+298.04 to 53,559.99). S&P 500: Advanced +0.63% (+48.38 to 7,711.76). Nasdaq: Led the weekly gains, rising +1.29% (+337.10 to 26,402.42). Trading volume. Trading volume during the week remained relatively muted, continuing a late-summer trend. On the heavier-volume days like Thursday & Friday, roughly 14.9 billion shares changed hands across US exchanges. This volume marked a slight contraction or stayed flat compared to the previous week's average, well below Wall Street's 20-session trading volume average of 16.3 - 16.6 billion shares. Catalysts for the week. The week was driven by a tug-of-war b
TOPThat 3-day post-earnings move is already north of 8%, so the momentum is real. I care more about whether NVDA can hold the volume once the macro fear hits
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09-02 11:40
WTI Back Above $90: The Strait of Hormuz Risk Premium Is Turning Into the Fed's Case for a Rate Hike
Rising oil prices are no longer just an energy-sector story. They are pushing Treasury yields higher through inflation expectations, raising the probability of a Fed rate hike in September, and compressing valuations across the rest of the market—the September 1 selloff in U.S. equities was the result of this entire chain being repriced at once. On Tuesday, September 1, all four major U.S. indexes closed lower. The S&P 500 fell 0.71% to 7,631.47, the Dow dropped 419.02 points to 52,766.88, the Nasdaq Composite declined 1.03% to 26,099.77, and the Russell 2000 fell 1.23% to 2,920. The real driver on the day came from the Middle East. U.S. forces launched a new round of strikes against Iranian targets around the Strait of Hormuz, after two oil tankers had been attacked in the waterway. T
TOPMy choice: A — but with a strong B risk. This oil shock is different because the market is no longer pricing crude in isolation. WTI jumped above $90 while the 10-year Treasury yield approached 4.8%, showing that investors are repricing both inflation and the Fed path simultaneously. For equities, I think energy will continue to outperform, but divergence within the sector will widen: refiners and upstream producers benefit differently from crude and crack spreads. Meanwhile, high-duration technology, small caps, airlines and discretionary stocks face a double hit from higher yields and weaker consumer purchasing power. The bigger risk is that a temporary geopolitical shock becomes a persistent inflation shock. If oil stays elevated into CPI and payrolls, September rate-hike expectations could rise further, keeping valuation pressure on growth stocks. So I would not chase energy blindly. The key question is no longer “How high can oil go?” but “How long can oil stay high?”
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09-02 11:27
How Do You Trade September Without Letting Fear Take Over?
A student recently asked me: “How do you psychologically take trades in September when it’s historically one of the worst months for the market, especially when you think we could still see a pullback?” The honest answer? It’s difficult. And it gets even harder when you’re public with your analysis and have a community trading alongside you. But there’s one mindset that helps me stay grounded: 🧠 Think in 10–20 Year Timeframes Seasonality matters. September has historically been a difficult month for the market, and I absolutely take that into consideration. But seasonality only matters until it doesn’t. The mistake is allowing a historical average to become a trading rule. I try to look at every decision through a 10–20 year lens rather than letting one month determine what I do today. 🚀 L
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09-02 11:26
$SPY Faces a Rough September, $AMAT, $CRWV and $CIFR Enter Critical Zones
September is starting with some pressure across the market, but I’m not looking at this pullback as a reason to panic. Instead, I’m watching for key support levels, discount zones and potential re-entry opportunities. A few names are getting particularly interesting. 👀 🚨 $Applied Materials(AMAT)$ Is Testing Smart Money Support Again $AMAT is back at the Smart Money Zone. This level matters. If the current bull cycle is going to continue, we need to see buyers step in here and defend the zone. 📈 A strong bounce could keep the broader bullish structure intact. For now, this is a level to watch closely rather than chase. 🔄 $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ Is Back on the Radar Walking away from $CRWV turned out to be
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09-02 11:02
Macro Strategy Weekly: VIX Seasonal Spike Incoming，Top Strategy for Choppy Markets
Our Call That Gold and U.S. Equities Had Topped Out in the Near Term Has Been Validated Again Hello everyone, welcome back to the Macro Strategy Weekly. In this weekly report, we regularly select contributors within the community who have relevant professional expertise to share and consolidate their market-strategy views. We also track, on a weekly basis, how those strategy calls have played out. Before turning to this week’s strategy discussion, let us review the results of our previous calls. On July 21 this year, our strategy weekly published an analysis titled: Macro Strategy Weekly: Treasury Bond Purchases Are Bearish for Markets—U.S. Equity and Gold Bulls Should Be Cautious The report received substantial engagem
TOPBeyond short puts, calendar spreads make more sense if VIX term structure keeps steepening. Short straddles in choppy tape can get ugly fast lol
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09-02 11:11
SPX: Pullback in Play, Key Annual Level Tested
The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ is down -1% so far this week, losing its central weekly level of 7,707.1 as anticipated on Saturday and breaching the bearish target of 7,642. The index is currently testing the critical 7,638 zone; if it isn’t reclaimed quickly, the downward move could gain momentum. Meanwhile, the $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ , which was hovering at year-to-date lows and primed for a bounce, has rallied +13% this week alone. Once the $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2609(ESmain)$ lost the anticipated Central Daily level of 7,700 overnight, the bearish continuation was triggered to start the month. The E-mini futures found temporary morning support at 7,651
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09-02 11:09
Chip ETF SOXL Fights a Weak Tap, What Comes Next?
$Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares(SOXL)$ 📋 Executive Summary 🔑 At a Glance Field Status Trend Zone 🟥 Bearish — Downtrend Risk Level 🟠 Level-3 (−63%) Bullish Zone Entry Probability 🔔 0% within 10 days Cumulative Return −19.6% avoided (Sell Entry $140.30 / Aug 07, 2026) Prediction Volatility ⬆️ High 🎯 Trading Plan Action Price Target Timing 🔴 Sell $110.80 Aug 31 – Sep 01 🟢 Buy $83.50 Sep 09 – Sep 10 🔵 Sell Target To Be Determined Pending [Adaptive Long]: Very High Risk (Downside Appears Substantial/Sustained) - Very Low Reward Potential (Upside Appears Limited/Transitory) => Avoid new positions — stay in cash [Inverse Allocation]: Aggressive tactical entry review on favorable setups ⚡ Key Takeaway The bearish structure that has held S
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09-02 10:52
Dell up 8% overnight, profit triples, pivot?
Dell surged more than 8% in after‑hours trading this morning, with its market capitalization approaching $300 billion and the stock briefly touching $460. On the news front, the company just reported its fiscal 2027 second‑quarter results. Quarterly revenue reached $46.97 billion, up 58% year‑over‑year and setting a new all‑time high, beating market expectations of $44.78 billion. Adjusted earnings per share came in at $7.04, a staggering 203% increase from a year ago and far exceeding the consensus estimate of $4.897. Most notably, Dell significantly raised its full‑year fiscal 2027 revenue guidance to $192 billion – a $25 billion increase from its previous outlook of approximately $167 billion – representing a 69% year‑over‑year growth rate, well ahead of analysts' average forecast of $1
TOPThat $95B backlog and $130B AI order figure are the real fuel. Market still looks late to the Rubin ASP step-up in 2H
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09-02 10:46
Seems like a Big Battle now Between Macro and the AI Narrative
Seems like a big battle now between macro (10Y, Oil, PCE etc) and the AI narrative which is only trending in one direction: 1. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$: Forecasted 2028 revenue growth at +70% vs Street estimates of 44%. 2. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ forecasts $1.3T in hyperscaler CapEx spend for 2027. 3. $SHKY CEO: "We expect the shortage (on storage) to persist until the end of 2030." 4. $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$: "We see structurally massive demand for NAND until 2030." 5. $Marvell Technology(MRVL)$ giving $Alphabet(GOOGL)$
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09-02 10:44
AMZN is One of the Safer 2x Opportunities in the Market
Tell me how these $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ forecasts don't work out: 1. $530B in AWS revenue in 2030 in line with MS forecasts. -> At 30% NI margins and a 20x earnings multiple we have a $3.18T business. -> At 25% NI margins and a 20x earnings multiple we have a $2.65T business. 2. E-Commerce ARR is ~$550B today. -> At 10% CAGR growth we have a $833B revenue business in 2030. -> At a conservative 1x sales that's $833B in value. 3. Digital Ads ha revenue heading towards $80B with 50% operating margins. -> 20x EBIT values the business today in the $800B range. This should be a $1T business by 2030. That's a $4.5T business EXCLUDING: -> Amazon Leo -> Zoox -> One Medical -> Prime Video -> Equity stakes (If An
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09-02 10:40
TDG& NVDA: PE Leaves the Rooms for Booming
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ on its +70% revenue growth guidance: “Our demand is much greater than 70%. Our supply allows us to confidently deliver 70%.” 2 Transdigm group trading close to its lowest fwd. PE in years $TransDigm(TDG)$ Follow me to learn more about analysis !!
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09-02 10:35
QQQ, USO& SPY Enjoy Great Rebound Now
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ Inverse head and shoulders still set up here, for now. 2 $United States Oil Fund LP(USO)$ Well, they went with the "massive breakout" option for #Oil. 3 $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ vs. $TNX since 2023. With rates back above 4.75%. Which number (1-3) will we look most like? Note: Initially, the market moved higher for at least 6 weeks after this 4.75% threshold was hit. Follow me to learn more about analysis !!
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09-02 10:30
.SPX: 3 Distinctive Market Conditions
The last two times the Fed hiked in a midterm September: one crash, one bottom. Round three is in two weeks, here’s how to trade into the event 👇 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ closed at 7,631, its lowest level since August 4, after losing the 7,650-7,700 zone it defended for two weeks. Oil is surging on the Strait of Hormuz escalation, the 10-year is pressing 4.8%, and rate markets flipped to pricing a September hike. Jobs Friday, then FOMC mid-month. Three paths from here. Scenario #1: The September Flush Oil and yields don’t let up and the breakdown follows through. $SPX loses 7,600, bounces get sold, and the flush runs to 7,500 (roughly 4% off the highs) where the market finally bottoms out. If the midterm playbook holds, that’s the low o
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09-02 10:28
TRADE PLAN for Wednesday
Sharp sell off today in $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ after the gap down. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 7620 is a key support level.. if this level fails we can see a sell off to 7580,7550 next. Puts can work under 7620 tomorrow. I'd wait for 7700 for calls. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ if 702 breaks we can see a flush to 693. Puts can work under 702. There's been more escalation in the Iran war and the Treasury yields + Oil are also rising. Lots of headwinds over the next 2 weeks. Risk off for now as long as $SPX stays under 7700 and
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09-02 10:27
.SPX: The Next Gap Will be Bridged
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading strategies with you! 1 The opening low is 7627, lower than the previous lows near 7640. The second part of my prediction is right [break the previous lows within two trading days]. Now, the next step is to fill the GAP at 7600. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 2 THE DAM WILL BE BROKEN--SOON.