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TRIGGER TRADES
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07:06

$SPX Bounced, But This Still Looks Like a Sellable Rally

Good morning! ☕️ The relief bounce showed up exactly where it needed to. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ held yesterday’s low, then pushed straight into the bearish Daily FVG. That’s a strong bounce on the chart, but the location matters more than the bounce itself. 👀 There’s also a bullish SMT against $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ , which is helping support the reversal for now. So yes, $SPX could push a little deeper into the FVG before making its next decision. But my bias hasn’t changed. I still expect this rally to get sold into resistance. 🔑 The level I’m watching: A daily close above 7,701 would change the picture and signal a more meaningful bullish move with room for a deeper retracement. Until that happens, I’m treating
$SPX Bounced, But This Still Looks Like a Sellable Rally
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OptionsDelta
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01:32

Same Pattern as the Beginning of Last Month

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ The market's script over the past two days is almost identical to last month's — a rally in the first few days of the month, led by NVIDIA. The only question is whether the consolidation and pullback that followed will also be the same. If that's the playbook, then after tomorrow's nonfarm payrolls data is released, the market will gap up and sell off. The expected minimum pullback level over the next two weeks is 755 $SPY 20260911 755.0 PUT$ $SPY 20260915 755.0 PUT$. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Although I don't think September is a good time to buy calls,
Same Pattern as the Beginning of Last Month
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OptionsBB
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09-03 21:52

9/3 Pre-Market Thoughts

I. Key Events AVGO (Broadcom): Down 3% on Guidance Miss Q3 results slightly beat market expectations, Q4 in line, with clear FY2027/FY2028 outlook provided. However, FY2027 revenue guidance of $115 billion fell short of the market's $130 billion expectation; FY2028 expectations, in contrast, far exceeded Wall Street consensus. Growth is heavily dependent on Anthropic and OpenAI, introducing significant uncertainty to the outlook. Key level to watch: whether the stock pulls back to the 20-month MA at 320. SNOW (Snowflake): Surged 23% on Accelerating Growth Annual revenue growth is accelerating, with Q3 revenue growth of 37–38% (above market expectations of 30%), and full-year guidance raised from 31% to 36%. There may be further upside in the coming months. Approach: watch for Sell Put oppo
9/3 Pre-Market Thoughts
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Marktomarket
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09-03 17:06

Broadcom Talked About US$230 Billion. The Market Counted US$200 Million.

One batch of results, three different share prices. $Dell Technologies Inc.(DELL)$ closed 15.81 per cent higher on Wednesday at US$492.20. Credo's revenue more than doubled from the previous quarter and the stock closed down 20.04 per cent at US$165.22. $Broadcom(AVGO)$ left its answer until after the close, beat on both revenue and earnings, and saw its shares push above US$370 before being knocked back below US$350. The hardest number in Dell's results is US$95 billion — a record order backlog for AI servers. It raised full-year revenue guidance by US$25 billion to US$192 billion at the same time. At least 15 firms moved their targets that day: UBS from US$455 to US$500,
Broadcom Talked About US$230 Billion. The Market Counted US$200 Million.
TOPJerry Lam: I will put the official non-farm payrolls (NFP) figure before the ADP, but I won't just look at a headline number. Instead, I will look at the unemployment rate, wage growth, and previous revisions together. The reason is simple: ADP is more like an advance reference for the private sector, while non-farm payrolls have broader coverage and a significantly greater impact on the Federal Reserve and market pricing. The two are often inconsistent, so if ADP weakens first and non-farm payrolls strengthen later, I will not significantly change my position in advance just because of ADP. What really changes my judgment is usually the combination of NFP + unemployment rate + average hourly wage. For example, if Friday's non-farm payrolls are significantly lower than expected, the unemployment rate rises, and wage growth cools down, I would be more inclined to believe that the upward pressure on US Treasury yields will ease, and technology stocks, especially overvalued AI stocks, will catch their breath. Conversely, if employment and wages are strong, the weakness in ADP will be largely overturned, and the risk of the 10-year yield rising again will be higher. So my order is: ADP looks at the direction, NFP sets the position, and wages and unemployment rates are confirmed. In short: ADP can raise my awareness, but what really made me change my mind was the official non-farm payrolls report.
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Capital_Insights
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09-03 19:23

JPMorgan Turns Cautious: Why Wall Street Is Bracing for a Choppy September

1.Executive Summary Wall Street is turning more cautious on U.S. equities as September begins. $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$'s trading desk has shifted to a “tactically cautious” stance for the next few weeks, while $Wells Fargo(WFC)$'s equity team is warning of “broad cautiousness” as investors reassess the sustainability of the AI investment boom. Citadel Securities strategist Scott Rubner has also flagged a deteriorating near-term risk-reward setup, though he remains constructive over the medium term. The shift follows a powerful rally — the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ has gained roughly 22% from its March 30 low, adding close to
JPMorgan Turns Cautious: Why Wall Street Is Bracing for a Choppy September
TOPShyon: I’m staying cautiously bullish rather than turning bearish. After such a strong rally, I agree the near-term risk/reward is less attractive, especially with the 10-year yield near 4.8% and the Fed back in focus. September could bring more volatility, so I’m prepared for a pullback rather than chasing strength. I don’t think the AI story is broken yet. I’m watching whether AI leaders can turn massive capex into sustainable revenue and earnings growth. If the fundamentals remain strong, I would view weakness as an opportunity to accumulate rather than exit. My approach is to manage position size, keep some cash ready, and add selectively during meaningful pullbacks. I’m not trying to predict the exact top — I’d rather use September volatility to build my high-conviction semiconductor and AI positions for the longer term. @Tiger_comments @TigerStars @TigerClub @Capital_Insights
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orsiri
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09-02 18:04

The Aggregator Dilemma

Why Uber is Wall Street’s most high-stakes battleground Uber has reached an awkward stage of corporate adolescence. It has grown out of its cash-burning youth, built a formidable global marketplace and started throwing off billions in free cash flow. Yet the market is increasingly asking whether the technology that could make transportation more efficient might eventually make Uber less necessary. The driver may disappear. The customer relationship cannot That contradiction is why I think Uber Technologies has become one of Wall Street’s most interesting battleground stocks. At $75.24, Uber’s market capitalisation is $153.68 billion, well below its $101.99 52-week high. Yet the operating numbers hardly resemble those of a business in terminal decline. Trailing revenue reached $55.23 billio
The Aggregator Dilemma
TOPLeonaClemens: I care more about the liquidity loop than the robot angle. Two-sided network effects at Uber's scale are a pain to dislodge
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Shyon
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09-02 18:42
I’d pick B: Tech Stocks. Even with Brent above $95, I think the oil rally is more vulnerable to geopolitical headlines and supply disruptions, while quality tech companies still have stronger structural growth drivers. For me, AI remains the bigger long-term story. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ , $Broadcom(AVGO)$ , $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ and the broader AI ecosystem are benefiting from massive infrastructure spending, while companies like $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ , $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ and Amazon can continue monetising AI through advertising, cloud and other businesses. Higher yiel
I’d pick B: Tech Stocks. Even with Brent above $95, I think the oil rally is more vulnerable to geopolitical headlines and supply disruptions, whil...
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Shyon
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09-02 18:57
I’d stay away from chasing the 10% jump for now. $Dell Technologies Inc.(DELL)$ numbers are clearly impressive, especially the $95B AI server backlog and upgraded outlook, but after such a sharp post-earnings move, I’d rather wait for the market to digest the news than buy purely on momentum. The AI infrastructure demand is definitely encouraging, and Dell is becoming an important beneficiary of the ongoing data-center buildout. However, I’d also keep an eye on margins, execution and how much of that backlog ultimately converts into sustainable free cash flow. A huge backlog is great, but valuation matters too. So personally, I’d hold my existing exposure but not chase the spike. If Dell pulls back after the initial excitement, I’d be more comfo
I’d stay away from chasing the 10% jump for now. $Dell Technologies Inc.(DELL)$ numbers are clearly impressive, especially the $95B AI server backl...
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koolgal
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09-02 18:58
🌟🌟🌟Why are the storage giants pulling back now?  The correction is happening because: Q1/Q2 expectations became too aggressive and markets are repricing the slope of  growth. Concerns have emerged about AI memory efficiency improvements and next gen compute architectures.  This has reduced the rate of memory growth, not the direction. Spot pricing showed short term weakness.  This is typical during mid cycle digestion. More importantly, the market is not questioning whether AI driven memory demand continues, only whether the previous pricing curve was too steep. So what is the tactical move?  Buy dips or take profits? I would take profits first and then buy dips selectively. Why? Because the current correction is a valuation reset, not a fundamental break. This me
🌟🌟🌟Why are the storage giants pulling back now? The correction is happening because: Q1/Q2 expectations became too aggressive and markets are repri...
TOPmoliya: # the current correction is a valuation reset, not a fundamental break. # stocks can fall further even while fundamentals remain strong. # take profits first and then buy dips selectively
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Shyon
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09-02 19:22

Broadcom Earnings Tonight: Can AI Momentum and VMware Growth Keep the Rally Alive?

Introduction Tonight, after the U.S. market closes on 2 September 2026, $Broadcom(AVGO)$  will release its Fiscal Q3 2026 earnings results, with the numbers expected around 04:00 SGT on Thursday morning. This earnings report has become one of the most important events in the AI investment landscape. While$NVIDIA(NVDA)$  remains the dominant AI infrastructure company, Broadcom has quietly evolved into one of the biggest beneficiaries of the AI boom through its custom AI accelerators, networking solutions, and VMware software business. AVGO Earnings Unlike NVIDIA, Broadcom is not dependent on a single product line. It has exposure to: 📎Custo
Broadcom Earnings Tonight: Can AI Momentum and VMware Growth Keep the Rally Alive?
TOPblinkix: I care more about VMware conversion than the AI headline tonight. If recurring software revenue lands cleanly, the AVGO story still has legs.
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苏36
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09-02 20:18
The most interesting takeaway isn’t that Dell, Palo Alto Networks, and Moderna are all benefiting from technology—it’s where the value is accruing. Dell shows AI infrastructure is still supply-constrained, with a record $95B backlog and $192B FY27 revenue guidance. Palo Alto shows the next layer: as AI expands the attack surface, cybersecurity becomes mandatory. But with FY27 growth normalizing to ~23–24%, valuation matters. Moderna represents the highest-risk, highest-upside frontier: turning personalized mRNA oncology from science into a commercial platform. My conclusion: AI creates the demand, security protects it, and biotech may ultimately redefine what technology can do. The winners won’t simply have breakthrough technology—they’ll be the ones that convert breakthroughs into scalab
The most interesting takeaway isn’t that Dell, Palo Alto Networks, and Moderna are all benefiting from technology—it’s where the value is accruing....
TOPjigglyp: Scalable cash flow is the filter for sure. Dell's backlog and Palo Alto's pricing power both say bottlenecks matter more than raw innovation in this phase.
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Elliottwave_Forecast
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09-02 21:15

BTCUSD Bitcoin Elliott Wave: Forecasting the Short-Term Path

Hello, fellow traders. In this technical blog, we’ll take a quick look at the latest Elliott Wave analysis for BTCUSD, published in the members’ area of the website. Bitcoin has been showing clear bullish impulsive sequences from the August 1 low. The strongest part of the rally was labeled as wave ((iii)) of 3, which is a textbook example of the powerful momentum usually seen during the third wave of an Elliott Wave impulse. In the analysis below, we’ll discuss the short-term Bitcoin outlook, possible scenarios, and the key technical levels that could determine BTCUSD’s next move. BTCUSD Elliott Wave 1  Hour  Chart 09.02.2026 BTCUSD is currently going through a three-wave pullback. The correction is developing as an Elliott Wave Double Three pattern, labeled (w)-(x)-(y). The dec
BTCUSD Bitcoin Elliott Wave: Forecasting the Short-Term Path
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koolgal
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09-03 06:04
🌟Today is the Big Test for Tesla: The Cybercab Launch in Austin Texas.  Wall Street believes it is a massive make or break test for Tesla. Sell The News Risk: Andrew Percoco,  Morgan Stanley has warned that a massive chunk of Tesla's premium valuation is riding on its robotaxis ambition.  If Elon Musk delivers just a flashy product unveiling without concrete details, Tesla stock is vulnerable to a sharp sell off. Early Positive Signs: It isn't all gloom. Recent Texas DMV records show Tesla  registered about 40-45 additional Cybercab units to its local fleet.  This suggests Tesla may actually reveal a much larger initial rollout rather than a limited presentation.  This could act as a huge catalyst. If you believe that Elon Musk can pull off both the Cybercab
🌟Today is the Big Test for Tesla: The Cybercab Launch in Austin Texas. Wall Street believes it is a massive make or break test for Tesla. Sell The ...
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苏36
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09-03 10:14
Singapore’s 2026 buyback boom is sending a clear message: companies are becoming more confident about returning excess capital to shareholders. In 8M26, more than 70 primary-listed companies repurchased S$2.09 billion of shares, already well above S$1.57 billion in the same period last year. The standout is Singtel, which accounted for roughly 45% of total buybacks. Its three-year, S$2 billion programme could permanently lift EPS by about 3%, potentially supporting future dividends. Seatrium is another interesting case, having nearly exhausted its S$100 million buyback programme. Meanwhile, SHS Holdings’ cancellation of repurchased shares directly reduces its share count. The bigger takeaway: buybacks matter most when companies have strong cash flow, reasonable valuations and limited bett

Singapore’s Buyback Boom Just Hit S$2B In 8M26

@SGX_Stars
Over the first eight months of 2026 (8M26), more than 70 primary-listed companies in Singapore collectively repurchased S$2.09 billion worth of shares on the open market, up from S$1.57 billion in 8M25 and S$855 million in 8M24. Companies repurchase shares to support employee compensation plans or deploy surplus capital more effectively. ACRA notes that buybacks can enhance key financial metrics such as Earnings per Share (EPS) and Return on Equity (ROE), take advantage of perceived undervaluation and reduce the overall cost of capital. 1. $Singtel(Z74.SI)$ Buyback activity in 2026 remained concentrated among the largest issuers, with $Singtel(Z74.SI)$ accounting for S$948.6 million, or ar
Singapore’s Buyback Boom Just Hit S$2B In 8M26
Singapore’s 2026 buyback boom is sending a clear message: companies are becoming more confident about returning excess capital to shareholders. In ...
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TigerOptions
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09-03 12:10

Why Snowflake’s AI Acceleration Makes Cash Conversion the Next Test

$Snowflake(SNOW)$’s latest results strengthen the argument that enterprise AI is generating paid data-platform consumption, not merely demonstrations. But a sharp earnings rally also raises the standard for what comes next: faster growth must eventually translate into durable cash generation and attractive returns per share. Snowflake reported after the September 2 close for the quarter ended July 31. Revenue increased 35% to $1.55 billion, including $1.49 billion of product revenue, up 37%. Net revenue retention was 126%. Management raised fiscal-2027 product-revenue guidance to $6.07 billion from $5.84 billion and adjusted operating-margin guidance to 14.5% from 13.5%. However, the quarter’s $237 million adjusted operating profit contrasted with
Why Snowflake’s AI Acceleration Makes Cash Conversion the Next Test
TOPMortimerDodd: 14.5% margin guide is the part I care about more than the headline pop. If they can keep expanding that while NRR stays above 120, the cash conversion debate gets a lot easier
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TigerOptions
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09-03 12:15

Why Vertiv’s Microgrid Deal Targets the Power Bottleneck Beyond the Server Rack

$Vertiv Holdings LLC(VRT)$’s proposed purchase of UtilityInnovation Group extends its data-centre role from managing electricity inside a facility toward helping customers obtain usable power in the first place. That addresses a material constraint on AI deployment, but it also moves the company into projects whose complexity cannot be solved by selling more cooling equipment. On September 2, Vertiv announced a definitive agreement to acquire UIG for $1.45 billion in upfront cash, plus as much as $1.15 billion tied to performance. Closing is expected in the fourth quarter, subject to approvals. Management expects adjusted EPS accretion in the first year. The initial consideration represents approximately 13 times expected 2027 EBITDA, a forward est
Why Vertiv’s Microgrid Deal Targets the Power Bottleneck Beyond the Server Rack
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nerdbull1669
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09-03 12:23

Micron’s 83-Month Taiwan Union Dispute: Shift from Price Risk to Production Risk and Strategic Memory Market Impact

Micron Technology faces a pivotal labor escalation in Taiwan, where unions representing nearly 10,000 workers across key production facilities in Taoyuan and Taichung are demanding a one-time bonus equal to 83 months of pay for fiscal 2026, alongside a permanent 15% quarterly profit-sharing framework starting in fiscal 2027. In this article we would be covering these key takeaways and should a work stoppage materialize, memory prices and supply shortages will exhibit direct structural correlation rather than inverse market dynamics and a localized production shock at Micron creates significant competitive tailwinds for peer memory manufacturers, primarily $SK hynix(SKHY)$ SK Hynix, $Samsung Electronics Co.,
Micron’s 83-Month Taiwan Union Dispute: Shift from Price Risk to Production Risk and Strategic Memory Market Impact
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TigerOptions
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09-03 12:39

Why Brown-Forman’s Ready-to-Drink Growth Cannot Yet Resolve Its Spirits Slowdown

$Brown-Forman(BF.B)$’s quarter illustrates the difference between a promising category and a recovered company. Ready-to-drink products are growing, but the broader portfolio still lacks enough momentum to produce convincing operating leverage. A positive stock reaction suggests relief, not proof that the demand cycle has turned. Brown-Forman reported September 2 for the fiscal first quarter ended July 31. Sales declined 1% to $911 million. Operating income fell 3% as reported to $252 million but rose 4% organically, while EPS increased 6% to $0.38. Lower non-operating postretirement expense and prior repurchases helped EPS. Ready-to-drink sales grew 11% organically, compared with a 13% organic decline in tequila. Free cash flow increased to $161
Why Brown-Forman’s Ready-to-Drink Growth Cannot Yet Resolve Its Spirits Slowdown
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TigerOptions
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09-03 12:43

Why July’s Factory-Orders Gain Does Not Yet Prove a Broad Industrial Boom

The latest US factory-orders report is constructive for industrial companies, but its composition matters more than the headline. A large aircraft order can lift aggregate manufacturing demand without saying much about whether a typical business is expanding its equipment budget. The Census Bureau released July’s figures on September 2. New orders increased 0.9% to $663.6 billion after declining in June. Shipments rose 0.8%, unfilled orders increased 0.6% and inventories advanced 0.4%. The inventory-to-shipments ratio remained 1.47. These are dollar measures, so they should not automatically be interpreted as equivalent changes in physical production. The Census Bureau’s July manufacturing report provides the official totals. The internal split is less decisive. Aircraft orders rose 12.7%
Why July’s Factory-Orders Gain Does Not Yet Prove a Broad Industrial Boom
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天天是周末
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09-03 14:08

Broadcom: Options Playbook

Broadcom delivered strong Q3 numbers and mapped out massive multi-gigawatt custom AI chip orders across Anthropic, OpenAI, and Meta through 2028. However, an in-line near-term forecast triggered immediate post-earnings profit-taking, knocking shares down toward key chart support around $360. For options traders, this pullback creates defined-risk opportunities to monetize volatility rather than chasing momentum. Executive summary Achieved record Q3 revenue of $29.6 billion, up 86% year-over-year, driven by strong demand for AI accelerators and networking. Q3 GAAP operating income reached $16.0 billion; non-GAAP operating income was $20.1 billion, up 92% year-over-year. Q3 GAAP diluted EPS was $2.68; non-GAAP diluted EPS was $3.32, up 96% year-over-year. Free cash flow for Q3 was $13.7 bill
Broadcom: Options Playbook
TOPJoy34: Diagonal works better here than straight covered calls if AVGO chops. Around 360 support, longer long leg plus short near-dated calls can lower basis without leaning too hard on direction
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