All eyes on CPI tomorrow. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ If Core CPI comes in at 0.3% or higher there's a much higher chance the Fed raises rates next Wednesday by 25bps. SPX just printed its 4th consecutive red day dropping from 7750 to 7580. IF SPX gives up the 7580 support it can drop to 7520 next. There's still no signs of a bottom yet so be patient and wait for the reaction to CPI first. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ also dropped from 721 to 706 the past 3 days as well. IF QQQ fails to hold 700 after FOMC it can drop to 686-693 range before a bottom forms. It's a risk off environment until we see if the fed raises rates next Wednesday. Tread lightly over the next 4 days. Lots of traders are
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 Buying Nvidia here means you're paying the same valuation as: -2019 lows -2022 lows $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ 2 🚨 Palantir $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ just printed its first golden cross since early 2023 3 $Copart(CPRT)$ Q4 EARNINGS EPS: $0.35 vs $0.38 est ❌ Sales: $1.152B vs $1.144B est ✅ 🟩 +16.91% 4 $Reddit(RDDT)$ simply refuses to give up this IPO trendline 5 $Costco(COST)$ dipping below the 100-week EMA for just the 5th time in
🔥 Oracle Earnings: The $638B AI Bet — Goldmine or Debt Trap?
$Oracle(ORCL)$ reports earnings tonight, and I think this one could be much bigger than a normal software earnings report. A year ago, Oracle's huge OpenAI deal helped trigger a massive rally. Today, the market is asking a very different question: can Oracle actually turn all that AI demand into real profits and cash flow? The bull case is impressive. Oracle Cloud Infrastructure grew 93% in the latest quarter, while total cloud revenue jumped 47%. Its remaining performance obligations have exploded to US$638B, and Oracle is targeting around US$90B of revenue for FY2027. Its partnership with OpenAI is also enormous, with up to 4.5GW of additional data-centre capacity under development. If AI demand keeps accele
Japan Economy meltdown, housing affordability crisis, rising PPI numbers. How is Fed going to address these?
Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. With the next FOMC rate announcement nearing, the pressure to make rate adjustments seeems to reach its boiling point. Can Warsh and his team still keep rates as it is heading towards second half of the year? @PawsAndProfits - Specialist in combining FA and TA for Options selling and Swing trading.[666]
$VOO: Is The Market Stronger Than It Looks Going Into The Weekend?
Market Tape & Institutional Liquidity Breakdown Cap-Weighted Defense vs. Broad Weakness: While the equal-weighted S&P 500 has dropped nearly 1%, mega-cap tech resilience is preventing $Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$ from breaking down hard.$VOO is holding firmly above $695 despite aggressive macro headwinds. Yield & Commodity Drag: Pushing 10-year yields higher alongside surging energy costs has capped multiple expansion, causing systematic funds (CTAs) to trim risk rather than trigger panic liquidation. Options Flow & Dark Pool Positioning: Institutional order flow shows heavy put selling anchored around the $690–$692 strike range, indicating market makers and institutions expect a firm support floor going into the weekend. Technic
Navigating $108 Crude & Surging Yields: Can Technology and Staples Join Energy in a Bullish Market Regime?
The rapid ascent of crude oil to $108 per barrel—occurring alongside a synchronized surge in benchmark sovereign bond yields—presents a complex structural crossroads for global asset allocation. Traditional financial playbooks suggest that elevated energy prices function as an arbitrary tax on global consumption, while rising interest rates compress stock valuations by inflating discount rates. However, contemporary cross-asset dynamics reveal a far more bifurcated and nuanced reality. In this article, we would like to look at other than the Energy (Undisputed Leader), could Technology which present bifurcated opportunity could produce winners, we would be looking at losers to weigh the opportunity in more balanced way, lastly, we would look at Consumer Staples on Pricing Power vs. Input C
$SK hynix(SKHY)$ just put a huge number on the table: 💰 $28.6B buyback planned for 2026. That’s roughly 3% of the company’s current market cap in a single year. And management plans to direct around 50% of free cash flow toward buybacks and dividends. Analysts expect nearly $600B in FCF from 2026–2028. If that plays out, we could be looking at roughly $300B returned to shareholders over just three years. That’s more than 30% of the company’s current market value. Think about what that means. You’ve got a business still growing earnings, while simultaneously shrinking the share count and sending massive amounts of cash back to shareholders. People may still view $SKHY as a “commodity” business. But a company that can generate this much cash, keep g
People need to automate their investments. Automation protects investors from their own procrastination, fear, and hesitation. When people must actively choose to transfer money into an investment account, they find excuses to skip it. They claim the market looks too high, there is nothing worth buying, and maybe I skip it this month. Let me wait for stocks to get cheaper. “Far more money has been lost by investors in preparing for corrections, or anticipating corrections, than has been lost in the corrections themselves.” Peter Lynch The problem is that nobody knows what the market will do tomorrow, next month, or next year, especially the experts. By automating your investments, you can bypass these behavioral roadblocks. This is exactly what dollar-cost averaging is for. Under this met
Good Morning,Tigers! $Cipher Mining Inc.(CIFR)$ played out almost exactly the way I expected. We caught the breakout, then flagged the risk of another pullback yesterday. After today’s move, I’m watching for a bounce that could set up the next leg higher. 👀 $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ still can’t reclaim the Smart Money Sell Zone. If that continues, I could see the downside gap getting filled before buyers step in around the $212 support area. $Akamai(AKAM)$ has gained more than 10% in just two sessions, but I don’t think the move is finished. The Macro Smart Money Zone is now being tested, and historically that has been an important setup for a 6-month breakout. 🚀
I’m laying out all 8 steps of the swing strategy I want you to learn over the next 8 weeks. Each week, focus on ONE step. Don’t rush it. The goal is to build a repeatable process you can actually follow. 1️⃣ Trade with the bull market This strategy is designed for a bull market. The current cycle is still relatively young in my framework, so I want to stay focused on buying strong companies during healthy pullbacks rather than fighting the bigger trend. 2️⃣ Focus on strength Keep your watchlist concentrated around AI and companies with positive, growing revenue and EPS. Names I’m watching include: $Apple(AAPL)$$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$
$SPX Is Near the Target. Any Bounce Could Be an Opportunity
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ is getting very close to the downside zone I’ve been watching. 🎯 7570–7550 remains the target. Until price actually reaches that area, I’m still treating rallies as opportunities to sell rather than chasing a reversal. After four straight down sessions, tomorrow’s CPI could make things interesting. 👀 A strong bounce on the data wouldn’t automatically change my bearish view. It could simply create one more bull trap before the next leg lower. If we get that bounce, I’ll be watching the fresh bearish FVG for rejection, especially while $SPX stays below the 50% retracement of W3. 📉 Below that level, the bearish structure remains intact. If buyers fail to produce a meaningful rebound, this consolidation could simply resolve lower a
$TSLA Has the Cheaper Car. $UBER May Have the Better Economics
When it comes to autonomous vehicle economics, I think we may be focusing on the wrong number. Vehicle cost is not the biggest variable. Utilization is. A robotaxi spends far more of its life generating revenue than sitting in a driveway, so how often that vehicle is actually carrying passengers can completely change the economics. Here’s the simple example from my model 👇 🚗 $70K vehicle → 30 rides per day vs. 🚙 $30K vehicle → 25 rides per day The more expensive vehicle can still generate better economics because it is being utilized more heavily. That’s why trying to win the market simply by making the vehicle cheaper can backfire. If lower pricing reduces the number of rides or revenue generated per vehicle, the cost advantage starts getting overwhelmed by utilization. And this is where
$SPX Lost 7,640.4 and the Bearish Targets Came Into Play
U.S. stocks fell for a fourth consecutive session today as a fresh spike in crude oil prices and jumping Treasury yields weighed on investor sentiment. The August Producer Price Index (PPI) report revealed wholesale inflation grew by 0.4% month-over-month and 5.4% year-over-year. The combination of stubborn inflation and triple-digit oil prices (CL=F: $103.9) fueled bets that the FED will raise interest rates next week, with the current probability sitting at 71%. Adding pressure to the market, the European Central Bank (ECB) raised interest rates by 25 basis points today to control inflation pressures. Yesterday I noted that the bearish move was unlikely complete for the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ , considering a potential gap fill attempt to 7,667. The
30-year Treasury yields hit another new high, and oil prices continued rising, breaking above $100. Trump said oil prices won't fall until after the midterm elections — meaning there's one last push higher — so oil prices duly rallied first. The broader market dipped slightly. As long as Friday's CPI isn't too outrageous, the likely outcome is a dip-and-rebound. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ Judging from call openings, the target for this MUSE-driven move is 700, with many large block trades opening $META 20261002 670.0 CALL$ $META 20261016 800.0 CALL$ . But whether it can reach that level and the path it takes
I. Key Events ECB Hikes Rates by 25 Basis Points, U.S. Stocks Fall Pre-Market The ECB rate hike has raised expectations for a U.S. rate hike, pressuring U.S. equities pre-market. Tomorrow (Friday) brings the CPI release — focus on whether core inflation MoM exceeds 0.2%. A beat would further strengthen rate-hike bets. Brent Crude Surges Pre-Market, Breaks Above $100 Trump said during Wednesday's session that the Iran conflict will end immediately after the midterm elections, and oil prices will plunge (midterms are on November 3). The rhythm: short-term geopolitical push higher, but a pullback catalyst has already been pre-announced — beware of a pullback after an overshoot. TSMC (TSM): August Revenue +10.1% MoM, +53.3% YoY Fundamentals are strong, but rate-hike expectations carry more wei
$MU Is Back Above $1,000. Earnings Could Be the Next Catalyst
$Micron Technology(MU)$ $Micron Technology(MU) +2.75%: Memory Giant Reclaims $1,000, Momentum Building Toward $1,068 Resistance Latest Close Data: MU closed at $1,027.77 (+2.75%) on September 10, 2026, adding $27.51. The stock is now just 18.1% below its 52-week high of $1,255.00 and has surged approximately 643% from its 52-week low of $138.34. Core Market Drivers: MU has decisively reclaimed the psychologically critical $1,000 level for the first time in three weeks 📈. South Korean peers SK Hynix and Samsung surged 8.3% and 5.7% respectively, signaling broad-based memory sector momentum. Market focus is locked on the September 30 earnings report, where EPS is projected to soar nearly 10x to $30.89 with revenue tripling to $50.4B. T
TSMC Blows Expectations Away! 53.3% YoY Growth On Explosive AI Demand
$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$’s latest August sales data came in well above market expectations, with revenue surging 53.3% year-over-year. The strong print fully reflects the persistent and robust demand for AI computing power. According to the official sales report, TSMC generated NT$514.8 billion in revenue in August, rising 53.3% YoY and 10.1% month-over-month, beating consensus estimates comfortably. Cumulative sales for the first eight months of 2026 grew 39.3% YoY, maintaining strong double-digit growth driven largely by booming AI chip orders. Metric Aug Jul Jun May Apr Mar Feb Monthly Sales (NT$ bn) 514.8 467.6 442.7 417.0 410.7 415.2 317.7 Monthly YoY +53.3% +44.7% +67.9% +30.1% +17.5% +45.2% +22.2% YTD Cumulat
A Cup of Water on a Burning Cartload: Yields Hit a New High and Meta Rose 6.55 Per Cent the Same Day
On Wednesday $S&P 500(.SPX)$ closed 0.48 per cent lower, its third session in a row heading down. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ rose 6.55 per cent the same day to close at US$653.69. The whole market was backing away while one of the largest companies in it put on six and a half points, and those look like two unrelated things. They are one thing. What is holding the indexes down is rates: Brent crude moved back above US$100 for the first time in two months, the inflation print lands on Friday, the ten-year Treasury yield was pushed to 4.85 per cent and the thirty-year broke above 5.30 per cent. The Treasury stepped in that day and raised the cap on its buybacks of ten-
$IBM(IBM)$ $IBM Surged +3.38%: Legacy Tech Giant Regains Momentum, $241.50 Resistance Breached Latest Close: $239.94 (+3.38%) | 52W Range: $199.19–$332.46 | Distance from 52W High: -27.8% Core Market Drivers: IBM entered the Canadian bond market for the first time since 2012, signaling renewed institutional confidence. Sentiment remains mixed after Oppenheimer pulled its $350 target in July, citing software growth at half expectations—but today's volume surge suggests dip buyers are stepping in. Technical Analysis: Volume hit 6.40M shares (Volume Ratio 1.54), confirming accumulation. MACD turned positive at +0.785, with DIF crossing above DEA—a fresh bullish crossover. RSI(6) jumped to 65.3 from 44.5, exiting oversold territory whil