Tesla Q2 Earnings Playbook: Some Are Betting Tesla Won't Break 400
I. Fundamentals: Strong Deliveries Come at the Cost of Profit and Cash Flow Tesla's overall Q2 deliveries beat expectations, and the full-year delivery guidance was raised. However, gross margins and EPS are expected to come under pressure and trend lower, while capex has breached $25 billion and free cash flow has turned negative. The market's real focus is no longer on car sales, but rather on the execution of Robotaxi rollouts and the production ramp of Optimus. Whether Tesla can build a moat in physical AI is the true make-or-break factor for this valuation. Key Data: Deliveries (raised): 2026 raised from 1.57M → 1.67M units; 2027 from 1.82M → 1.86M units. Capex: 2026 expected at $26.8B, with FCF loss of approximately $11.4B, in line with company guidance. Robotaxi: Launched in Miami o
$Micron Technology(MU)$ lost $350B in market cap in a week, then made half of it back in two days $Micron Technology(MU)$ is right outside of 1000, up almost 200 pts after a violent backtest of 800. Through 1000 and $Micron Technology(MU)$ can quickly retest ATHs, through ATHs and it'll gravitate towards 1500. 845 and 800 absolutely need to hold, otherwise $Micron Technology(MU)$ can see a flush towards 650 Key Catalysts Memory price shock: Morgan Stanley now sees Q3 memory prices rising 25% from Q2 on AI-driven shortages, the single biggest driver of the recent ral
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some ai trading ideas with you! 1 Kimi K3 is too large to run efficiently on a single accelerator so the workload must be distributed across many chips that exchange data at extremely high speeds. $Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd(CRDO)$ and $Astera Labs, Inc.(ALAB)$ benefit from the high speed connectivity inside AI clusters while $Marvell Technology(MRVL)$ and $Broadcom(AVGO)$ provide the networking, optical and custom silicon infrastructure required to scale them. Thats why inference constraints are bullish for the
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some ai trading ideas with you! 1 $Frequency Electronics(FEIM)$ is nearly back at highs after the space / high beta sell off. Reminder: Set to hit $150M in revenue by FY29 which means it's growing ~32% CAGR over the next 3 years. Whilst trading at 8x sales vs a company like $Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ at 32x sales. Again, not making the claim that $Frequency Electronics(FEIM)$ should trade in line with $Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ but for similar growth forecasts, I'm not sure the difference should in multiple for be fo
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ closed +65 on the day and reclaimed 7500. If SPX can defend this level after $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ and $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ earnings tmrw we can see all time highs again by next week. SPX July 22 7530C can work above 7500 $Micron Technology(MU)$ is winding up for a run to 1100+ if it can get back through 1000. MU should be bottomed now as long as 900 holds over the next 2 weeks. MU July 24 1050C can work above 980 $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ to 1800 in play if it holds a higher low above 158
Why Micron’s 12% Rebound Shows That AI Memory Has Become a Momentum Trade
$Micron Technology(MU)$ rose approximately 12% on July 21, leading a broad recovery in memory and storage shares. The move reflects extraordinary earnings growth, but it also demonstrates how quickly sentiment can change when expectations are already elevated. Micron reported fiscal third-quarter revenue of $41.46 billion on June 24, compared with $23.86 billion in the preceding quarter and $9.30 billion one year earlier. GAAP net income reached $28.24 billion, while operating cash flow totalled $25.39 billion. Micron’s official earnings release and SEC-filed report show the scale of the expansion. These numbers reflect an exceptional memory environment. AI accelerators require high-bandwidth memory, while data centres, smartphones and computers all
Why Alphabet’s Earnings Must Justify Its Enormous AI Spending Plan
$Alphabet(GOOG)$ reports second-quarter results after the market closes on July 22 under unusually demanding circumstances. Google Cloud is growing rapidly, but investors increasingly want evidence that Alphabet’s enormous AI investments will produce returns commensurate with their cost. The company entered the quarter with powerful operating momentum. In the first quarter, Google Cloud revenue increased 63% to approximately $20 billion. Cloud operating income tripled to $6.6 billion, while its operating margin expanded from 17.8% to 32.9%. Alphabet’s first-quarter earnings call shows that AI demand is already contributing to revenue and margin growth rather than remaining purely experimental. However, Alphabet expects 2026 capital expenditure of
SMCI, HOOD, ONDS, SLV& SPY Enjoy Great Reversal Here?
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 The longer the squeeze... 🍋 $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ 2 It's been a minute since Silver showed some signs of life 👀 $iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$ 3 The past 3 trading days on $Ondas Holdings Inc.(ONDS)$ are the top 3 most active trading days in the company's history. In other words, each of the last 3 trading days saw more volume than was ever previously recorded in a single session. The market is taking notice as the stock sits -30% YTD. 4 Another insider snipe in the books 📚 $Robinho
18 Relative Strength Leaders + Their Leveraged & Inverse ETF Plays
Strong momentum names often attract traders looking for amplified exposure. Below is a watchlist of the 18 strongest 1-month relative strength stocks along with available leveraged long and inverse ETF products. The goal is not to blindly chase performance, but to understand where momentum is concentrated and which instruments traders are using to express bullish or bearish views. 📌 How to read this list These names represent areas where market strength has been concentrated recently: AI infrastructure & semiconductors: $NVIDIA(NVDA)$$Broadcom(AVGO)$$Lumentum(LITE)$$IREN Ltd(IREN)$ AI software & enterprise pla
Why General Motors’ Earnings Rally Does Not Eliminate Its EV Problem
$General Motors(GM)$ delivered a stronger second quarter than the headline decline in net income initially suggests. The automaker generated approximately $48.0 billion in revenue, an increase of about $900 million year over year, and adjusted EBIT of roughly $3.9 billion. Adjusted diluted earnings reached $3.57 per share. GM also raised its 2026 adjusted earnings forecast to $12–$14 per share. The company released these results before trading opened on July 21. GM’s second-quarter release and earnings presentation provide the underlying figures. GM Q2 2026 slides: strong results drive second guidance raise By Investing.com GM’s pricing discipline was arguably more important than the earnings beat. Incentives averaged 4.7% of vehicle sticker prices,
Investment gurus build their reputations over decades, but markets have a way of reminding everyone that even the most celebrated investors can be wrong, or right at the wrong time. The realities facing 2 of the world's most scrutinized investment vehicles - (a) —Bill Ackman’s $Pershing Square USA, Ltd.(PSUS)$ and (b) Warren Buffett’s $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$, serve as a valid case in point that when it comes to investing, even gurus can be wronged sometimes. This comes about, even with (a) decades of experience, (b) deep research benches, and (c) billions of dollars at their disposal, the sharpest minds on Wall Street are susceptible to: Miscalculating market trajectories. Mis-timing exits. Enduring
$Danaher(DHR)$’s July 21 selloff demonstrates an important market principle: when a company trades at a premium valuation, the composition and outlook of its earnings can matter more than whether it beats the current quarter’s consensus estimate. Danaher reported second-quarter revenue of $6.3 billion, up 5.5% year over year. Core revenue increased 3%, or 4.5% excluding respiratory-testing revenue. Adjusted earnings rose 8% to $1.94 per share, while operating cash flow reached $1.5 billion and adjusted free cash flow totalled $1.3 billion. Danaher’s official second-quarter release was published before the market opened on July 21. Those figures look healthy. Net earnings also rose 60% to $870 million, and both revenue and adjusted EPS exceeded expe
Why 3M’s Turnaround Is Becoming More Than a Cost-Cutting Story
For much of the past several years, $3M(MMM)$ ’s investment case centred on litigation liabilities, restructuring and portfolio simplification. Its second-quarter results suggest the next phase could increasingly depend on organic growth and product execution. On July 21, 3M reported second-quarter adjusted earnings of $2.40 per share, up 11% and above market expectations. Revenue reached approximately $6.5 billion, while the adjusted operating margin approached 25%. Management raised its full-year adjusted earnings forecast from $8.50–$8.70 to $8.80–$8.95 per share. Reuters’ report on the results was published the same day. The quality of the growth was encouraging. Safety and Industrial sales increased strongly, supported by electrical products,
P&L (21 July 2026) Incredible... Just Incredible. Today's session was another reminder that patience, conviction, and disciplined execution pay off. AI infrastructure continues to dominate the market narrative, with $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ , $Broadcom(AVGO)$ , $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ , and $Marvell Technology(MRVL)$ leading the charge as demand for high-performance chips and networking solutions remains exceptionally strong. At the same time, $Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ continued to build momentum on growing confidence in the comme
Four stocks, four very different setups—but all worth watching. This week's focus ranges from $MSTR testing a long-term Smart Money Zone, $TSLA waiting for an earnings-driven entry, $RBLX trading deep in a historical discount zone, to $RDW seeing buyers defend key support. Here's what the charts are signaling and where the highest-probability opportunities may emerge. 1. $Strategy(MSTR)$ $MSTR holding macro Smart Money Zone Historically this area marks the long term bottom about 65% of the time. First resistance is around $130 at Weekly Fair Value. A clean break above makes the long term bottom case even stronger. From there, Bull Cycle would confirm. 2. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Still on the sidelines for $TS
1. $Intel(INTC)$ — Thu Jul 23, after close ⚡ (most genuine squeeze setup) TRIGGER: Q2 print Terafab/foundry roadmap, the $Alphabet(GOOG)$ chip deal, and whether Q1's margin recovery holds into H2. PRE-SQUEEZE SIGNAL: Put premiums bid up hard after a ~13% one-week drop in the semi selloff. On a beat, watch forced put-side unwind + call chase, with OI clustering at strikes just above spot. FUEL: ~128M shares short, beta 2.19, heavy retail options flow. But it's very liquid (days-to-cover <1.5), so this is a short-covering relief rally / gamma pop, not a thin-float classic squeeze. 2. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ — Wed Jul 22, after close TRIGGER: Q2 margins + robotaxi/C
The most entertaining outcome... $Oracle(ORCL)$ continues to nosedive, making it prohibitive to fund insane capex over the next 3 years. Without AI growth, Oracle's stock enters a downward spiral. The falling stock price forces Ellison to either liquidate some of his stake to fund the personal guarantee of Paramount's debt or let Paramount default and figure it out later. Paramount goes back up for auction in 2029/2030 after defaulting on its debt. How one of the most successful businessmen of all time went from a FCF machine to being beholden to debtholders is beyond me. This is a canary. If bond yields keep rising for ORCL and neoclouds it destroys the business model. $500 billion in RPO is dependent on being able to fund the project with debt a
AAOI's 15.8% Surge Signals a Potential Trend Reversal
$Applied Optoelectronics(AAOI)$ AAOI Daily Pretiming Report: A 15.76% Surge Pushes Bullish Zone Odds Above 68% Jul 21, 2026 | Close $119.3 (+15.76%) Yesterday's stabilization signal just turned into the sharpest single-day move this position has seen — and the model is already leaning toward a full zone reversal. ━━━ 📋 Executive Summary 🔑 At a Glance Row Status Trend Zone 🟥 Bearish — Rebound Trend (Descending Rectangle) Risk Level 🟡 Level-2 (−41%) Bullish Zone Entry Probability ✅ 68% within 3 days Downside Risk Avoided 26.8% (Entry $162.9 / Jun 09, 2026) Prediction Volatility ⬆️ High 🎯 Trading Plan Action Price Target Timing 🔴 Sell $128.3 Jul 21 – Jul 22 🟢 Buy $102.2 Jul 31 – Aug 03 🔵 Sell Target To Be Determined Pending [Adaptive Long]: Moderate