Why Nvidia’s OpenAI Financing Talks Are Making Investors Question the Quality of AI Demand
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$’s proposed involvement in financing an enormous OpenAI data centre represents a significant change in its risk profile. Supplying AI chips is highly profitable; guaranteeing financing that enables customers to purchase those chips potentially exposes Nvidia to the financial risk behind the demand. The Wall Street Journal reported on July 26 that Nvidia was discussing approximately $250 billion of financing guarantees for an OpenAI-led, 10-gigawatt data-centre project in Ohio. Nvidia was also reportedly considering financing as much as $350 billion of OpenAI chip purchases. The entire project could cost more than $500 billion. Neither arrangement had been finalized at the research cut-off. Reuters’ report on the financing discussions
but not irrational. $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ fell sharply on July 27 following reports that China had begun producing domestic immersion deep-ultraviolet lithography machines. The development does not immediately displace ASML’s technology, but it challenges the assumption that its existing competitive position will remain permanently unassailable. China’s state-backed Shanghai Aishengna Electronic Technology Group reportedly started manufacturing domestic immersion DUV machines. Initial deliveries to $SMIC(00981)$, $Hua Hong Grace Semiconductor Limited(688347)$ and $Cxmt Corporation(688825)$ are expected during 2026
Tesla sits at the intersection of two very different valuation stories. If you believe the company will become a leader in autonomous driving, Optimus robots and AI infrastructure, today's weakness could look like a temporary mispricing. Those businesses, if they scale, would justify a valuation well beyond that of a traditional carmaker. The bearish case is that those future opportunities remain largely unproven, while the current business faces softer EV demand, pricing pressure, compressed margins and heavy capital spending that weighs on free cash flow. If the core automotive business continues to weaken faster than new businesses mature, the stock could remain under pressure. At current levels, Tesla looks more like a high-risk, long-duration growth investment than a conventional valu
Palantir's rally appears to be early positioning rather than proof that earnings will exceed expectations. Investors are buying into three catalysts: continued U.S. government demand, expanding commercial AI adoption, and optimism that its Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP) will drive faster revenue growth and margins. However, expectations are rising quickly. With valuation already rich by traditional metrics, even a strong quarter may not be enough if guidance merely matches consensus. The stock likely needs to deliver another "beat and raise" report, plus evidence that AI contracts are translating into sustained, recurring revenue. The bull case is that Palantir remains one of the few software companies monetising enterprise AI at scale, supporting premium valuations. The bear case
The selloff looks more like a cycle reset than a confirmed cycle peak. CXMT's DRAM expansion raises legitimate oversupply concerns, especially for commodity memory, but AI demand remains concentrated in high-bandwidth memory (HBM), where SK Hynix and Micron still hold technology advantages. The key question is whether new Chinese capacity can meaningfully pressure premium AI products or mainly lower-end DRAM. With SK Hynix reporting this week and SanDisk next week, guidance will matter more than headline earnings. If management confirms robust AI demand, HBM pricing and healthy customer commitments, this pullback could prove a mispricing. If they instead signal weakening pricing power and slowing orders, the market may conclude the memory upcycle has peaked. This earnings season should pro
Today, Warren Buffett is one of the richest people in the world - a $149 billion net worth. He built that fortune by compounding Berkshire Hathaway at a 19.9% rate a year for the last 60 years. That’s nearly double the return of the S&P 500 Index.Warren Buffett was doing what most people aren’t doing today: Value investing. And Buffett's secret to achieving such enormous gains was to pick companies that could greatly grow their earnings without spending much additional capital. For most of his career, he had a mentor, a coach and a close friend, Charlie Munger whom he could bounce ideas off of (yes, having a mentor and partners are important). Together, they looked for wonderful stock ideas to accumulate. Think about the big entrepreneurs on Forbes who sold software, ran furniture comp
🚨 Corning Beats, Stock Still Drops – Welcome to Earnings Season $Corning(GLW)$ Corning delivered another strong quarter, but the market is no longer rewarding good fundamentals. 📊 Q2 Highlights • Revenue +17% YoY, beating expectations. • EPS +30% YoY to $0.78, also above estimates. • Optical Communications revenue +32% YoY to $2.07B. 📉 Why did the stock fall? Management guided Q3 revenue to around $4.95B, slightly below Wall Street's $5.0B expectation. That tiny guidance miss was enough to trigger profit-taking. The company also reaffirmed its long-term outlook, targeting a 19% sales CAGR through Q4 2030, with EPS expected to grow even faster than revenue. This is becoming the same story we've seen with GOOG, INTC, TSLA, ASML, TSM, MSFT, and
$FCG Update: Blue Box Area Reached, Buyers Entered, and Reaction Higher Started
In our previous Elliott Wave update on First Trust Natural Gas ETF ($FCG), we highlighted the blue box area at 26.20–22.77 as the next important support zone where the ongoing correction from the April 2025 cycle could end. Since then, price has reached that area, and as expected, buyers have entered and triggered a reaction higher. This price action confirms that the blue box once again worked as a high-frequency reaction zone. As a result, the correction appears to have found support in the expected area, and the ETF is now starting to recover from that low. Blue Box Area Was Reached as Expected In the prior outlook, $FCG was viewed as pulling back in a 7-swing correction against the la
🚨 $APPLIED DIGITAL CORP(APLD)$ Q4 Revenue Soars 407% YoY, EPS Swings to Profit — Yet the Stock Is Barely Moving! 💻📈 Applied Digital (APLD) just delivered a blockbuster quarter, crushing Wall Street's expectations on both revenue and earnings. Despite the massive beat, the stock is flat , highlighting how high expectations have become for AI infrastructure stocks. 📊 Q4 Highlights ✅ Revenue: $258.7M vs. $95M expected (+407% YoY) ✅ Adjusted EPS: $0.04 vs. -$0.19 expected ✅ Service revenue: $208.2M (+308% YoY) ✅ Data center hosting revenue: $50.6M ⚡ AI Infrastructure Continues to Scale Secured about 1.41 GW of long-term contracted capacity across five campuses. Polaris Forge 1 has 175 MW online, with additional AI campuses under
I’m backing Microsoft $Microsoft(MSFT)$ to deliver the strongest post-earnings performance. Azure demand has stayed resilient, and I believe Copilot is gradually becoming a meaningful revenue driver. If Microsoft reports strong cloud growth while proving AI investments are generating returns, it could further strengthen the AI bull case. Meta $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ is my second choice, with AI continuing to improve its advertising business, although expectations are already high. Apple needs to show Apple Intelligence can drive a new upgrade cycle, while Amazon’s AWS could surprise if AI cloud demand accelerates. Overall, I think this earnings season is about proving AI spending can translate in
Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. $Apple(AAPL)$ All these big tech names just cannot catch a break. A law suit coming AAPL way again. Coupled with its earnings call this week on 30 July, expect a big swing in its stock price and volatility. However, I strive on volatility as it reflects in higher option premium for me as an options seller. So LETS GO! @PawsAndProfits - Specialist in combining FA and TA for Options selling and Swing trading.[666]
$Corning(GLW)$$Amphenol(APH)$ $TE Connectivity(TEL)$ 🚨 Corning $GLW Just Posted Strong Earnings. So Why Is the Stock Getting Crushed? 📉👀 Today’s move has caught many traders off guard. 🔻 Pacing for its worst single-session decline since March 2020 📊 RSI has fallen to 28, entering oversold territory 📈 Options volume surged to roughly 3x normal levels within the first hour, with traders aggressively buying both downside puts and upside August calls. Despite the sell-off: 🟢 EPS: $0.78 vs $0.75 expected 🟢 Revenue: $4.74B vs $4.63B expected CEO Wendell Weeks remained highly confident: “We continue to deepen our long-term customer partnerships with
Seagate Pulled Storage Stocks Back—Then SK Hynix Pushed Them Down Again
After the U.S. market closed, $希捷科技(STX)$ delivered a major earnings beat that showed AI storage demand remains strong. Just a few hours later, $SK海力士(SKHY)$reported record results that still fell short of expectations, sending a very different message: strong demand alone is no longer enough. Here is the main takeaway: The fundamentals of the storage industry have not suddenly reversed, but the way the market values the sector has changed. Previously, rising prices and growing orders were enough to lift the entire group. Now companies must beat expectations by a wide margin while also convincing investors that future capacity expansion will not create another supply glut. S
Why Microsoft Has the Strongest Earnings Setup Among the Four Technology Giants
$Microsoft(MSFT)$, $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$, $Apple(AAPL)$ and $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ enter earnings week with the same central challenge: demonstrating that enormous AI investments are producing revenue quickly enough to justify their cost. Of the four, Microsoft appears to have the strongest evidence-backed setup because it combines direct AI monetization, accelerating cloud demand and diversified recurring revenue. Meta is a close second because AI is already improving advertising returns, while Apple has the lowest capital burden and Amazon faces the greatest near-term free-cash-flow pressure. Microsoft’s fiscal thir
Why Nucor’s Record Shipments Show That US Steel Tariffs Are Rewriting the Cycle
$Nucor(NUE)$r’s second-quarter results showed how trade policy, infrastructure investment and domestic supply constraints are producing unusually strong conditions for US steelmakers. The shares rose 7.1% on July 28 after the company reported record mill shipments and forecast further earnings growth. Nucor reported its results on July 27 for the quarter ended June 30. Net income reached $1.16 billion, or $5.04 per share. Excluding a $61 million non-cash gain related to the increased value of Nucor’s investment in fusion-energy company Helion, adjusted earnings were $4.84 per share. That compares with $3.23 in the first quarter and $2.60 one year earlier. Nucor’s official second-quarter release provides the comparison. Steel-mill shipments establis
SIA Just Posted a Loss. The Balance Sheet Story Is More Complicated Than the Headline. 🦖
SIA Just Posted a Loss. The Balance Sheet Story Is More Complicated Than the Headline. 🦖 🔍 The Angle SIA just posted a S$76 million loss in the same breath it called its balance sheet “robust”. When I pulled the filings, the picture was stranger than that headline, record revenue and rising passenger yields sitting next to a quarter wiped out by fuel and Air India. Half my solvency checklist can be verified, half of it is still a blank space the press release never fills. 💰 What It Means For You If you are holding SIA for income, the number that matters today is not the loss, it is the 3.48% ordinary yield at around S$7.77, still below a 4.7% hurdle built for CPF and SRS capital taking equity risk. SIA’s cash and near-cash plus credit lines add up to roughly S$13.7 billion against S$10.7 b
Palantir Drops 6%: How Option Traders Are Positioning Ahead of Earnings
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ fell 6.08% to $123.53 as short-term traders took profits and de-risked ahead of its August 3 post-market earnings report. This pullback creates a negative short-term impact due to broader market anxieties around high software valuations and AI capital expenditure returns, making price swings unpredictable. However, the medium-term core foundation remains intact—driven by solid government and commercial AI contracts—meaning Palantir will need both a revenue beat and strong future guidance to launch a major rally. High options implied volatility (IV, a metric reflecting expected price swings) is now pricing in significant earnings uncertainty. IF YOU ALREADY OWN THE SHARES Action: Consider selling a covered call (s
🌟🌟🌟The massive selloff in $SK hynix(SKHY)$ $Micron Technology(MU)$ & $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ was directly triggered by a dramatic competitive shock from China's CXMT. Changxin Memory Technologies or CXMT is China's premier, state backed DRAM manufacturer. Its blockbuster IPO on Shanghai's STAR market saw its share price skyrocketed 460% on Day 1. Analysts expect CXMT to capture 18% of the global DRAM market within 2 years, up from its current 8%. Why investors should not panic: The HBM market remains heavily dominated by the Big 3 - SK Hynix, Samsung and Micron. CXMT is currently estimated to be 2 to 3 years behind the global leaders in adva
🌟🌟🌟All eyes will be on Elon Musk as he reports the first quarterly report on August 4 for $SpaceX(SPCX)$ . Do I buy Space X now or wait until August 4? I prefer to wait until August 4 as there will be subsequent massive insider shares unlock on August 6. While regulatory relief and Starlink growth offer upside, SpaceX's high cash burn and potential share dilution could pressure the current stock price. SpaceX has had a volatile run since its June 12 2026 IPO, trading well below its USD 135 IPO price. While Walk Street analysts maintain a consensus Buy with price targets around USD 225 to USD 300, the stock carries significant risks ahead of its first earnings report on August 4 2026. It is far better to be cautious rather than
Amazon Q2 2026 Earnings Preview: AWS Acceleration, AI Monetization, and Strategic Option Setups
$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ is set to report its fiscal Q2 2026 earnings on Thursday, July 30, 2026, after the market closes (5:00 PM ET). Heading into the print, shares are trading around $231–$232. While Amazon has beaten earnings expectations in seven of the past eight quarters, recent market sensitivity around big-tech AI capital expenditures has driven heightened volatility across the hyperscaler group. Key Metrics to Watch Can Amazon's Massive AI Investments Be "Honored" (Monetized)? Yes. Unlike speculative software plays, Amazon’s AI spend is showing concrete structural returns across three key pillars: Custom Silicon Momentum: Amazon’s in-house AI chips (Trainium and Inferentia) reduce dependency on third-party GPU bottlenecks. Management noted cus