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432
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koolgal
·
09-13 06:56
🌟🌟🌟Despite US Treasury Secretary  Scott Bessent's recent action to prop up the bond market, the selloff of the US bonds has only worsened.  The benchmark 10 year Treasury yield has surged toward 4.93%, its highest level since late 2023. By tripling the US government's standard bond repurchase limit to USD 6 billion, Bessent attempted to artificially constrain bond supply, drive prices up & push down the yields. But the market is not buying it.  Why? Global macro funds view a USD 6 billion buyback as entirely too weak to combat a USD 32 trillion US government debt market that must continuously absorb heavy issuance to fund a USD 2 trillion annual deficit. Then there is energy shock caused by the war in Iran and high corporate debt demand for the AI buildout plus a hawkis

【🎁有獎話題】貝森特吹高日元反失守美債!莊家論為何越幫越忙?

@愛吃辣的小老虎
小虎們,北京時間今晚20:30公佈的美國消費者價格指數(CPI)報告,可能直接影響聯儲局下週的利率決定。而在CPI前夜,油價和美債價格同步走高,貝森特此前的莊家論是否幫了倒忙呢? CPI前夜:美債先出手了! 在昨日收升逾2%至4.944%後, $美國10年期國債收益率(US10Y.BOND)$ 再度走高,觸及4.70%,這是自2023年11月以來首次正式突破4.90%,較美伊戰事爆發前上升95個點子,有分析師預計下週就會正式超過5%,屆時美國政府和消費者的借貸成本都將飆升。 目前美國房地產市場實際上已經凍結,美國購房者放棄購房的比例達到了2023年以來的最高水平。債券市場正在與美國財政部展開一場激烈的博弈。「請做好迎接動盪的第四季度的準備。」有分析師在給客戶的郵件中寫道。 美國財長貝森特本週接連出手,先是高調警告市場不要沽空日元,日元隨即走強;$美元/日元(USDJPY.FOREX)$ 自從上週開始接連下挫,兩週累計跌超3%;隨後宣佈將單次國債回購上線提升至60億美元,較上月原定規模翻了三倍,試圖押注長端收益率,結果都大幅不如他的預期:日元走強衝擊套息交易,美債收益率走高壓制估值。 此前貝森特只透露回購規模可能會突破40億美元,華爾街則預期單次操作上限可能會達到100億美元,但從目前美債收益率走勢來看,市場對於60億這個數字表示失望,有分析師更形象地將這次操作形容為「豌豆射手對抗坦克」! 此外,財政部此前以4.834%的收益率拍賣了390億美元10年期國債,創下該期限拍賣歷史最高收益率紀錄!「財政部就像是製造了一頭猛獸,現在只能不斷投喂。未來如何控制這一局面,還在早期討論階段,
【🎁有獎話題】貝森特吹高日元反失守美債!莊家論為何越幫越忙?
🌟🌟🌟Despite US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's recent action to prop up the bond market, the selloff of the US bonds has only worsened. The bench...
TOPRiver0: 6B is a rounding error next to a 32T debt stack. The real pressure is terminal rate expectations getting repriced higher, not some cosmetic buyback
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koolgal
·
09-13 08:05

USD 100 Oil: Winners & Losers in SGX - Buy or Bye?

🌟🌟🌟As global crude oil crashes through the USD 100 per barrel milestone, a raw energetic current is tearing through the Singapore stock market.  For months, the Straits Times Index or STI tried to maintain its cool, insulated by its stable, defensive banks.  But with the Middle East supply stretching thin, triple digit oil has ceased to be an abstract metric.  It is affecting Singapore companies' balance sheets in real time. Some local blue chips are surfing a wave of pure windfall profit while others are holding their breath as massive operational expenses begin to threaten their bottom lines. 2 Winners Riding the Crude Oil Wave: $Sembcorp Ind(U96.SI)$  - The Strategic Play  Sembcorp acts as th
USD 100 Oil: Winners & Losers in SGX - Buy or Bye?
TOP1PC: Nice Sharing 😁 @JC888 @Barcode @Shyon @DiAngel @Aqa @Shernice軒嬣 2000
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Tigerong
·
09-13 10:00
Oil matters to inflation more than almost any other single commodity because it touches everything. Transport costs more, manufacturing costs more, even your electricity bill costs more, because an oil price move flows through to nearly every other price in the economy. BNO is also the top performer on this entire list, which tells you how large this year’s Middle East supply shock has actually been. The risk cuts both ways. The same headline risk that took this up 104% can reverse just as fast if there is real de-escalation, and futures funds bleed a little to the roll from month to month even when the price goes nowhere. Commodities usedlike oil  to mean opening a separate futures account. Futures are leveraged, and they come with quirks like contango and backwardation, where near-t
Oil matters to inflation more than almost any other single commodity because it touches everything. Transport costs more, manufacturing costs more,...
TOPWendyDelia: I doubt the pass-through is still that clean now. Services inflation stays sticky longer, so oil can spike without pushing broad inflation as much as people think
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Shernice軒嬣 2000
·
09-13 11:45

🚨 ORACLE JUST DROPPED THE BOMBSHELL: LARRY ELLISON CANCELS $7.5 BILLION SHARE SALE — IS THIS THE SIGNAL THAT DEBT CRISIS IS ACTUALLY THE BIGGEST AI BUYING OPPORTUNITY OF 2026?

Same company’s massive debt. Some see pure crisis. Others see pure opportunity. That’s $Oracle(ORCL)$   right now. Quick Translation + Reality Check (with the absolute latest numbers after Sept 10 earnings) Oracle reported Q1 FY2027 (ended Aug 31, 2026) on Sept 10 after the close: Revenue: $19.3 billion (+30% YoY) — beat estimates Cloud Infrastructure (OCI): $7.4 billion (+121%) — absolute monster growth Total Cloud: +62% Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO / backlog): $664 billion (was $638B at end of FY2026) — still insane Non-GAAP EPS: $1.92 (beat $1.74) Free cash flow burn: only –$5.4 billion (vs expected –$9.56B) — much better than feared Raised full-year FY2027 adjusted EPS guidance to $8.10 They also delivered 850 MW of ne
🚨 ORACLE JUST DROPPED THE BOMBSHELL: LARRY ELLISON CANCELS $7.5 BILLION SHARE SALE — IS THIS THE SIGNAL THAT DEBT CRISIS IS ACTUALLY THE BIGGEST AI BUYING OPPORTUNITY OF 2026?
TOPMojoStellar: thanks for sharing 🙏
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Tigerong
·
09-13 13:11
Oil matters to inflation more than almost any other single commodity because it touches everything. Transport costs more, manufacturing costs more, even your electricity bill costs more, because an oil price move flows through to nearly every other price in the economy. Brent oil funds is also the top performer on this entire list, which tells you how large this year’s Middle East supply shock has actually been. The risk cuts both ways. The same headline risk that took this up 104% can reverse just as fast if there is real de-escalation, and futures funds bleed a little to the roll from month to month even when the price goes nowhere. Commodities used to mean opening a separate futures account. Futures are leveraged, and they come with quirks like contango and backwardation, where near-ter
Oil matters to inflation more than almost any other single commodity because it touches everything. Transport costs more, manufacturing costs more,...
TOPfizzzi: Near term probably yes, but curve structure matters too. In contango, these ETFs can still bleed even if spot oil just chops sideways
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Mkoh
·
09-13 13:58
Higher crude prices trigger a rapid reallocation of cash flows and valuations across equity markets. Oil functions simultaneously as a direct revenue driver for producers and a major cost input for the rest of the economy. When prices move higher and remain elevated, the impact is rarely uniform: upstream energy captures the bulk of the upside while fuel-intensive and inflation-sensitive sectors absorb the pressure. The magnitude depends on the speed of the move, absolute price levels relative to corporate cost structures, and whether the rise stems from supply constraints or genuine demand strength. Sectors and Companies Positioned to Benefit Upstream exploration and production companies experience the most direct earnings leverage. Higher realized prices expand operating margins and free
Higher crude prices trigger a rapid reallocation of cash flows and valuations across equity markets. Oil functions simultaneously as a direct reven...
TOPkooko: Refining margins matter too here. If crack spreads are only mid-pack historically, integrated upside is less clean than pure upstream
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天天是周末
·
09-13 17:34

Stock Watch of the Day: The AI Custom Chip Battle (AVGO vs. MRVL)

While $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ gets all the headlines for AI chips, a massive shift is happening behind the scenes. Big tech companies (hyperscalers) are trying to cut costs. Instead of buying expensive, one-size-fits-all GPUs, they are turning to Custom ASICs—tailor-made chips built for specific AI tasks. Two players are leading this charge: $Broadcom(AVGO)$ and $Marvell Technology(MRVL)$ . But they offer two very different ways to play the AI boom. Get your free vouchers from linktr.ee/ChillOnSunday 🔵 Broadcom (AVGO): The Steady Compounder Broadcom dominates the AI custom chip market (holding roughly 60% to 80%) with giants like Google and Meta. It isn't just a chipmaker
Stock Watch of the Day: The AI Custom Chip Battle (AVGO vs. MRVL)
TOPextractoi: Power efficiency is the part people keep underweight. In hyperscale clusters, a better perf-per-watt curve matters almost as much as raw cost, and that is where MRVL can still gain share
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Shernice軒嬣 2000
·
09-13 18:46

The Ultimate Oil Trap: Is the Middle East Crisis a Masterclass in Lulling Foes and Shorting Markets

Asia is staring down an absolute nightmare scenario, and nobody is talking about the ticking clock. Here is the brutal reality: Middle Eastern oil cannot reach Asia right now. * The Primary Chokepoint is Dead: Heavyweights like Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the UAE pump the lifeblood of global industry through the Persian Gulf and out via the Strait of Hormuz. With that strait completely blockaded, the main artery is severed. * Every Alternative is Sabotaged: The backup plan—pumping oil across Saudi Arabia to the Red Sea and through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait—is totally dead in the water. Pipelines have been bombed and shut down, and the Houthis have locked down the Bab el-Mandeb. Even if those pipes get fixed, any ship heading out of the Red Sea into the Mediterranean hits a wall: the Me
The Ultimate Oil Trap: Is the Middle East Crisis a Masterclass in Lulling Foes and Shorting Markets
TOP1PC: Nice Sharing 😁 Tick-Tok [Chuckle] Count Down Daily [Chuckle]. @JC888 @Barcode @Shyon @koolgal @Aqa @DiAngel
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MojoStellar
·
09-13 19:14
Who can turn AI spending into incremental revenue, margins and free cash flow? My 3 key takeaways 1. AI capex is no longer automatically bullish Microsoft, Meta and Amazon are committing enormous amounts of capital to AI infrastructure. The market is increasingly demanding evidence that those investments generate sufficient revenue and cash returns. This is particularly important because Microsoft's Azure growth has been very strong—Azure grew about 40% for FY2026, while Microsoft has indicated roughly $190B of 2026 capex. Investor test: AI revenue growth must eventually grow faster than AI-related depreciation, infrastructure costs and capital expenditure. That's the biggest theme I would watch over the next 3 months. 2. Microsoft currently has the strongest AI investment case Of the four
Who can turn AI spending into incremental revenue, margins and free cash flow? My 3 key takeaways 1. AI capex is no longer automatically bullish Mi...
TOPclipzy: Ngl the moat matters less here than cash conversion. If AI revenue lags depreciation and infra costs, patience runs out fast.
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MojoStellar
·
09-13 19:15
Who can turn AI spending into incremental revenue, margins and free cash flow? My 3 key takeaways 1. AI capex is no longer automatically bullish Microsoft, Meta and Amazon are committing enormous amounts of capital to AI infrastructure. The market is increasingly demanding evidence that those investments generate sufficient revenue and cash returns. This is particularly important because Microsoft's Azure growth has been very strong—Azure grew about 40% for FY2026, while Microsoft has indicated roughly $190B of 2026 capex. Investor test: AI revenue growth must eventually grow faster than AI-related depreciation, infrastructure costs and capital expenditure. That's the biggest theme I would watch over the next 3 months. 2. Microsoft currently has the strongest AI investment case Of the four
Who can turn AI spending into incremental revenue, margins and free cash flow? My 3 key takeaways 1. AI capex is no longer automatically bullish Mi...
TOPMurrayBulwer: Free cash flow is still the filter for me. Microsoft's buybacks and dividend discipline say a lot more than flashy AI launches, and Amazon plus Meta still have more to prove there
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1PC
·
09-13 20:03
Nice Sharing 😁 @Barcode @JC888 @koolgal @Aqa @DiAngel @Shernice軒嬣 2000 //@Shyon:For me, the key shift is $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ moving AI from simply talking to actually taking action. Tasks like shopping, travel, scheduling and payments create much clearer paths to monetization than another stronger chatbot. I am bullish on Meta’s distribution advantage t
@Shyon
For me, the key shift is $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ moving AI from simply talking to actually taking action. Tasks like shopping, travel, scheduling and payments create much clearer paths to monetization than another stronger chatbot. I am bullish on Meta’s distribution advantage through Facebook, Instagram and WhatsApp. If AI agents become deeply integrated into these platforms, Meta could benefit across advertising, commerce, payments and subscriptions without needing to build a new user base from scratch. The biggest test is trust and reliability. If users become comfortable letting Meta’s AI handle real tasks, while usage and monetization continue to grow, I think the market could increasingly view META as an AI monetization winner rather
For me, the key shift is $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ moving AI from simply talking to actually taking action. Tasks like shopping, travel, scheduling and payments create much clearer paths to monetization than another stronger chatbot. I am bullish on Meta’s distribution advantage through Facebook, Instagram and WhatsApp. If AI agents become deeply integrated into these platforms, Meta could benefit across advertising, commerce, payments and subscriptions without needing to build a new user base from scratch. The biggest test is trust and reliability. If users become comfortable letting Meta’s AI handle real tasks, while usage and monetization continue to grow, I think the market could increasingly view META as an AI monetization winner rather
Nice Sharing 😁 @Barcode @JC888 @koolgal @Aqa @DiAngel @Shernice軒嬣 2000 //@Shyon:For me, the key shift is $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ moving AI fro...
TOPMess0M: Capex is the part I can't shrug off. If free cash flow keeps tightening, the agent story may stay expensive longer than bulls think
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Young_on_stocks
·
09-14 00:07

AI’s Biggest Players Are Finally Hitting the Brakes: Could This Become a Real Turning Point for AI Hardware?

🤖 1. This Is More Than Another “AI Safety” Debate For the past three years, the AI industry has focused on one question: when will the next model arrive, and how much more capable will it be? This weekend, that tone changed. Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei publicly called on frontier AI companies to slow the pace of capability improvements and push for independent evaluations and shared safety standards. More surprisingly, Sam Altman and Elon Musk also expressed support for that direction. The important part is not that another CEO warned about AI risk. It is that the people with the strongest incentives to build more powerful models are now seriously discussing whether they should slow down. ⚠️ 2. Why Is This Happening Now? The core reason is that AI agents are turning safety concerns from the
AI’s Biggest Players Are Finally Hitting the Brakes: Could This Become a Real Turning Point for AI Hardware?
TOPPorterLamb: CapEx pacing is the first thing I'd watch. NVDA and Broadcom already hinted datacenter growth may cool next quarter, which feels like the first real slowdown signal for hardware demand
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KYHBKO
·
09-14 00:46

(Full Article) Preview of the week starting 14Sep2026 - Fed's interest rate and Trip earnings

Economic Calendar (14Sep2026) Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision The main event in the coming week will be the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision, with the previous rate standing at 3.75%. While the decision itself will be closely watched, the accompanying FOMC statement may be even more important, as it will help shape expectations for future interest rate moves. Consumer Spending and Retail Sales Retail sales data for August will also be released in the coming week. This report will provide an important indication of the consumption outlook and the underlying strength of consumer demand. Energy, Manufacturing, and Labour Market Indicators · Crude oil inventories will be released, offering insight into oil demand expectations and the outlook monitored by oil producers. · The Phi
(Full Article) Preview of the week starting 14Sep2026 - Fed's interest rate and Trip earnings
TOPAgathaHume: Rate hold is the base case, but the dot plot could still lean hawkish. If that reprices cuts, VOO probably stays heavy while VIX has room to wake up
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nerdbull1669
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09-14 06:10

Navigating the HBM-Driven Memory Super-Cycle: Duration, Unique Dynamics, Recent Volatility, and Top 3 Stock Opportunities

The global semiconductor market is experiencing a structural metamorphosis, propelled by an unprecedented demand surge for High Bandwidth Memory (HBM). Driven by the rapid, global expansion of Artificial Intelligence (AI) infrastructure, cloud hyperscalers are acquiring advanced memory chips at an unprecedented rate. This surge has triggered substantial price increases across dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) and NAND flash memory markets. Despite recent share price volatility caused by macro headwinds and localized supply disruptions, structural analysis indicates that the memory super-cycle remains intact and is positioned to extend into late 2027 or early 2028. 1. Introduction: Deconstructing the Memory Super-Cycle Memory markets have historically been characterized by extreme cyclica
Navigating the HBM-Driven Memory Super-Cycle: Duration, Unique Dynamics, Recent Volatility, and Top 3 Stock Opportunities
TOPMortimerDodd: That 50%+ structural gross margin is the juicy part, but long-term supply contracts can cap upside too. I care more about how flexible pricing stays outside HBM if demand cools
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koolgal
·
09-14 07:02
🌟If I could only choose one side to marry for the rest of my investing life, Buy The Dip speaks to my deepest desire for a good bargain & a heroic comeback story.  A good example is $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ .  It represents the quintessential, high stakes Buy the Dip scenario.  Tesla is still trading significantly below its 52 week high of nearly USD 500. I would be buying a stock that plummeted due to recent headline concerns regarding its Cybercab launch.  I am betting Tesla is more than just a car company with exponential growth ahead. But Chase the Winner is often the brutal reality of how wealth is generated: by backing the champions ev
🌟If I could only choose one side to marry for the rest of my investing life, Buy The Dip speaks to my deepest desire for a good bargain & a heroic ...
TOPAlanBright: 38x earnings is exactly where I stop calling Apple a bargain. Great business, sure, but that multiple has a nasty habit of pulling forward returns lol
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KYHBKO
·
09-14 08:15

(Part 1 of 4) Economic and Earnings Calendar (14Sep2026) - Fed's interest rate and Trip earnings

Economic Calendar (14Sep2026) Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision The main event in the coming week will be the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision, with the previous rate standing at 3.75%. While the decision itself will be closely watched, the accompanying FOMC statement may be even more important, as it will help shape expectations for future interest rate moves. Consumer Spending and Retail Sales Retail sales data for August will also be released in the coming week. This report will provide an important indication of the consumption outlook and the underlying strength of consumer demand. Energy, Manufacturing, and Labour Market Indicators · Crude oil inventories will be released, offering insight into oil demand expectations and the outlook monitored by oil producers. · The Phi
(Part 1 of 4) Economic and Earnings Calendar (14Sep2026) - Fed's interest rate and Trip earnings
TOPvippy: That 3% to 8% guide is the part that matters. Price target cuts feel more about margin compression and post-boom normalization than balance sheet risk
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KYHBKO
·
09-14 08:17

(Part 2 of 4) S&P500 technical analysis - with over 20 indicators

Market Outlook of S&P500 (14Sep2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for the S&P 500 is in a downtrend. Moving Averages Examining the moving averages, the most recent price action shows the last candlestick above the 50-day (MA50) and 200-day (MA200) moving average lines. This pattern indicates a bullish shift in the short and long term. Notably, both the MA50 and MA200 lines have continued to trend upward, indicating a bullish outlook in both the short and long term. Exponential Moving Averages This shows a current downtrend. Chaikin Money Flow CMF index shows a score of -0.21. This implies more selling momentum than buying momentum. Other Technical Analysis Based on the daily interval, technical
(Part 2 of 4) S&P500 technical analysis - with over 20 indicators
TOPSteveWatson: MA50 and MA200 still sloping up, so the longer trend matters more than the MACD wobble. Fear at 33 is ugly, but I am not reading that as a clean bearish week yet
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DavidSG
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09-14 01:33
Comment
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2.50K
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HODL2MOON
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09-14 02:08
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MaDLabbit
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09-14 05:41
$BABA-W(09988)$  $Alibaba(BABA)$  $BABA-W(09988)$  BABA continue to hang on to the resistance turned support level. It shows that it is a strong support level so far for not breaking down. This week is super critical, if it continue to have no bounce then most likely it will break down. I expect no rate hikes from the FOMC that will have all stocks rally. 
$BABA-W(09988)$ $Alibaba(BABA)$ $BABA-W(09988)$ BABA continue to hang on to the resistance turned support level. It shows that it is a strong suppo...
TOPKittyBruno: Buyback matters more here than the chart for me. If that support cracks without a bounce, sentiment probably gets ugly fast lol
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