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MMMTWealth
·
09-17 10:36

TMDX is Undervalued at $86.

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! Right... $TransMedics Group, Inc.(TMDX)$ is undervalued at $86. -> CEO says Europe is ~50% of the entire global transplant opportunity (currently only generating ~$20M of revenue in Europe). -> CEO forecasts 30,000 transplants by 2032 generating $2 billion in revenue (18% CAGR for 6 years). -> Director buying $110k worth of shares. -> CEO regularly bought in the +$100 range. -> 2H 2027 is the year revenue starts to get generated from kidneys and Europe. I forecast we hit $2B in revenue in 2032 (18% CAGR from here) which is in line with management commentary if some of the above goes right. At 40% EBITDA margins that's $800M in EBITDA (or 31% CAGR from
TMDX is Undervalued at $86.
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EliteOptionsTrader
·
09-17 10:31

Lots of Volatility on FOMC Day as Expected

Lots of volatility on FOMC day as expected. We saw $S&P 500(.SPX)$ drop 120 points from the highs to lows and close at 7551. If SPX reclaims 7600 tomorrow we can see a bigger rally next week. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ dropped from 711 to 700 and closed at 704.72. As long as QQQ Holds 700 and SPX holds 7500 uptrend still intact. The real move usually comes tomorrow for FOMC week so let's see if a bigger trend arises. I'd keep an eye on $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ above 520, $Dell Technologies Inc.(DELL)$ above 570
Lots of Volatility on FOMC Day as Expected
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XAUUSD Gold Traders
·
09-17 10:28

Fed Decision to Decide Gold’s Fate: Dovish Surge or Hawkish Collapse?

Key Scenario: The Fed’s Decision Will Determine Gold’s Fate The crux of the matter regarding the decision does not lie in whether or not interest rates will be raised, but rather in the updated economic forecast dot plot and the Fed Chair’s remarks on the future interest rate path during the press conference. A: Dovish reassurance (e.g., implying that current inflation is under control and the tightening cycle is nearing its end) Market Outlook: This would immediately trigger a “gold bull run” as bearish expectations are realized. Technical Development: 4-hour bulls will ignore resistance from moving averages above, breaking through the middle Bollinger Band at $4,436.41 with a large bullish candle, rapidly recouping lost ground in a short time, and making a frantic push toward the 4-hour
Fed Decision to Decide Gold’s Fate: Dovish Surge or Hawkish Collapse?
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MasterWU
·
09-17 10:24

.SPX: The Real Move Will Come

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 Back inside the GAP again---expect a big swing (1%) post-FOMC to shake off weak hands. The short-term setup: the 7580 low needs a retest, but if it happens, that would be a VERY buyable dip. 7816 will be reteseted again in the near future--that is when BIG BEAR will be back $S&P 500(.SPX)$ A hike, as expected. Don't be fooled by the muted reaction so far, as most the volitilities takes place 5-min into the presser. Also, now it is the time to burn those 0dtx option premiums, which is huge amount. Once that is settled, the real move will come. EXACTLY AS I EXPECTED. Hit 7520 after presser. Now, decision time. 2 MPW Mid-week Update Posted: (1) post-FOMC mar
.SPX: The Real Move Will Come
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462
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Long_Equity
·
09-17 09:31

Revenue Growth Is Only the Start FCF Growth Is the Real Story

I like companies that can turn revenue growth into even faster FCF growth — and then turn that FCF growth into even stronger FCF per share. That’s where the real compounding starts. 🔥 Three things can make the engine work even harder: 📈 Margin expansion means more cash from every dollar of revenue. 💵 Share buybacks spread that growing cash flow across fewer shares. 🚀 Multiple expansion can add another layer of upside when the market starts paying more for that growth. The result is powerful: Revenue ↑ → FCF ↑↑ → FCF/share ↑↑↑ The companies in this list are showing exactly that kind of progression over the next decade. A few standouts from the screen: Comfort Systems USA 21% revenue CAGR → 41% FCF CAGR → 42% FCF/share CAGR e.l.f. Beauty 24% revenue CAGR → 30% FCF CAGR → 30% FCF/share CAGR I
Revenue Growth Is Only the Start FCF Growth Is the Real Story
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PeterDiCarlo
·
09-17 09:19

$SPY $CIFR $NVDA Key Levels Set Up the Next Move

The market is sitting at three very different spots right now. 🔴 $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ : The bounce needs to show up soon. If buyers can’t step in, $750 becomes the next short term downside target. Keep the reaction around current levels tight. 🟢 $Cipher Mining Inc.(CIFR)$ : A +15% bounce straight from the Smart Money Zone. Nice execution for everyone who accumulated down there. 🎯Next target: $20 🔵 $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ : Still holding key support, and for now the internal structure remains bullish. No reason to overcomplicate it while buyers continue defending the level. Three charts, three different setups. $SPY needs a bounce. $CIFR needs to follow through
$SPY $CIFR $NVDA Key Levels Set Up the Next Move
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TRIGGER TRADES
·
09-17 08:13

$SPX FOMC Bounce Fails as Sellers Take Back Control

The post FOMC pop didn’t have much follow through. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ managed only a shallow rebound before sellers stepped back in and pushed price sharply lower. That keeps the short term structure leaning toward another leg down rather than a clean bullish reversal. For now, I’m treating the current rebound as W4. If that count holds, the bounce should remain below today’s high before W5 brings another move lower. 🔻 The key levels are pretty clear: ⚠️ Above 7632: the immediate W4/W5 setup is invalidated. 🚦 Daily close above 7637: that would shift the setup into a more bullish posture. Until either level is reclaimed, I’m treating rallies as opportunities to sell rather than chasing strength. The next move matters more than the noise around the
$SPX FOMC Bounce Fails as Sellers Take Back Control
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Michael Esther
·
09-17 08:15

$SPY Rate Hike Risk Meets Strong Earnings

The Fed decision is the big event this afternoon, with another 25 bps hike to 3.75%–4% widely expected. A lot of that risk may already be baked into $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ . Still, the market has plenty of reasons to stay volatile. 🇺🇸⚔️🇮🇷 Higher rates, inflation, the Japanese yen unwind and the uncertainty around the midterms are all adding pressure to the tape. That leaves room for another pullback. I’m watching $748–$750 as a possible downside zone into next month if volatility picks up. 📉 But there’s another side to the trade. $SPY is ultimately tied closely to the earnings power of the companies inside it, and corporate earnings remain extremely strong. That’s why I still see room for a move toward $780+ in Q3 and potentially $820 by
$SPY Rate Hike Risk Meets Strong Earnings
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SmartReversals
·
09-17 08:11

Indices Falling as Anticipated - What Comes Next

Last week, we studied how to read the Setups Blueprint posted every weekend, covering momentum conditions, target prices, risk-to-reward ratios, and invalidation levels. We also reviewed how to manage support and resistance levels. Today, we will revisit them to reinforce the core concepts and examine the high-probability setups posted last Saturday, which accurately anticipated the decline in the indices and their targets 🎯. As anticipated last Saturday in the Weekly Compass, the market structure in the indices pointed toward bearish moves. Declines in the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $Dow Jones(.DJI)$, and Russell 2000 were mapped as high-probability setups: $SPDR Dow Jones
Indices Falling as Anticipated - What Comes Next
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OptionsBB
·
09-16 21:39

9/16 Pre-Market Thoughts: The Eve of Dovishness

I. Key Events Wednesday FOMC: Market Consensus Expects a "Dovish Hike" The Fed will announce its rate decision at 2:00 PM ET on Wednesday. The market is highly consensus-aligned in expecting a dovish hike — a 25bp increase without signaling a future rate path. → If delivered: the negative is exhausted, and risk appetite may recover. But such a unanimous expectation also means the positive is already priced in — beware of "buy the rumor, sell the fact" gap-up-and-sell-off dynamics. Combined with the 9/18 Triple Witching convergence, directional flexibility is limited this week. SK Hynix × Intel: In Talks for First U.S.-Based Memory Chip Production The news pushed INTC and Hynix higher pre-market, before Hynix clarified that "no conclusion has been reached," trimming gains. For INTC, watch t
9/16 Pre-Market Thoughts: The Eve of Dovishness
TOP1moredrink: Oil lost 100 and the 5 day, so near term it looks softer. 96 is the line that matters.
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zhingle
·
09-15
🚨 AI’s next major trade may NOT be chips — it may be cybersecurity. The most interesting part of this rotation isn’t that CRWD jumped 13.9% or PANW 13% in one session. It’s WHY money is moving there. AI is becoming more capable → attack surfaces expand → identity, cloud, endpoint, data and AI-agent security become mission-critical. The same AI labs warning about the risks are effectively highlighting why enterprises cannot simply “spend less” on security. (Axios) 💡 That creates an important asymmetry: If AI spending slows, GPU demand can get hit immediately. But if AI deployment continues, security spending arguably becomes a prerequisite rather than an optional upgrade. And this is bigger than fear-trading. Gartner estimates AI cybersecurity spending could reach $51.3B in 2026 and $86B by
🚨 AI’s next major trade may NOT be chips — it may be cybersecurity. The most interesting part of this rotation isn’t that CRWD jumped 13.9% or PANW...
TOPLeilaLynch: $51.3B by 2026 is still tiny versus total AI spend, which is why this looks more like budget reallocation than a one day fear trade
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Flameless Phoenix
·
09-15 22:46
# Patience Into the Fed, With One Selective Setup The market is giving me two messages at once. The equal-weight index has lost its 50-day moving average and the broader trend has weakened, while the Nasdaq and semiconductors are sitting near levels where a bounce could develop. With the Fed decision so close, I do not need to force those mixed signals into a confident market call. My main takeaway is to stay selective. The only fresh setup I am considering is an October call debit spread in ARKG. This is a trade plan, not an order or a fill. What interests me is the quality of the decision point. ARKG has pulled back toward an area that previously acted as resistance, met its 34-day moving average and produced a bullish reversal. The proposed spread keeps the risk defined, places the upsi
# Patience Into the Fed, With One Selective Setup The market is giving me two messages at once. The equal-weight index has lost its 50-day moving a...
TOPquizzio: ARKG does look like a clean decision point here, and the defined-risk spread fits the tape. Bigger question is whether CRSP or NTLA gives the basket a real catalyst soon
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Trend_Radar
·
09-16 20:00

$AMBA Stabilizes Near $65 After Its August Pullback

$Ambarella(AMBA)$ $Ambarella (AMBA) +0.55% Rebound Off Oversold Base, $73.48 Resistance Looms for Edge AI Play 📊 Latest Close Data: AMBA closed at $64.33 (+0.55%) on Sep 16, 2026, with intraday range $64.04–$67.62. The pre-market was $65.11, after-hours $64.60. Price sits ~33% below the 52-week high of $96.69, but well above the $48.30 low. 🚀 Core Market Drivers: Edge AI chip sentiment remains mixed after recent volatility saw AMBA spike to $83.12 in early August before fading. The semiconductor sector is grappling with rotation between AI infrastructure and edge deployments; no company-specific catalyst today, but lingering tailwind from the Hanwha multi-year deal and the broader "model-to-deployment" AI narrative keeps dip-buyers engaged at lowe
$AMBA Stabilizes Near $65 After Its August Pullback
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Trend_Radar
·
09-16 19:52

$T Rebounds Toward $28 as Dividend Support Holds

$AT&T Inc(T)$ $AT&T(T) +0.79% Technical Rebound: Dividend Yield 4.15% Anchors Support, $28 Resistance Caps Upside Latest Close Data: T closed at $26.72 (+0.79%) on Sep 16, 2026, with a session range of $26.30–$26.93. Price sits 10.3% below its 52-week high of $29.79 and 34.3% above its 52-week low of $19.89. Core Market Drivers: Telecom sector faced broad selling pressure last week on SpaceX satellite competition fears, but T stabilized near $26.30 support. AT&T's 4.15% dividend yield and $183.8B market cap continue to attract defensive income investors amid elevated sector volatility. Technical Analysis: Volume came in at 37.34M shares with a Volume Ratio of 0.90, indicating slightly below-average participation. RSI(6) at 73.5 and RSI(12
$T Rebounds Toward $28 as Dividend Support Holds
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D1ane
·
09-16 04:01

🔥 STOCK OF THE DAY: $CRM — Can Agentforce Become Salesforce’s Next Growth Engine

I’m putting Salesforce ($CRM) on my watchlist today. 👀 The reason isn’t simply that AI is hot. I’m watching to see whether Salesforce can actually turn AI adoption into measurable revenue growth. Agentforce is the key piece of the story. Salesforce already has a huge installed base of enterprise customers, so if companies start paying more to add AI agents into their existing workflows, Salesforce could potentially monetize AI without having to build an entirely new customer base. That’s what makes the setup interesting to me: 📌 AI agents → potentially higher software consumption 📌 Enterprise customers → existing distribution advantage 📌 Agentforce adoption → key proof point for the bull case 📌 Recurring revenue model → potentially more predictable monetization But there’s also a big quest
🔥 STOCK OF THE DAY: $CRM — Can Agentforce Become Salesforce’s Next Growth Engine
TOPNewmanGray: Valuation first for me: CRM probably needs clear Agentforce upsell, not just demos. If spend per customer does not move, the multiple stays capped.
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Trend_Radar
·
09-16 19:43

$NXPI +0.95% Starts to Stabilize With $240 as the Next Hurdle

$NXP Semiconductors NV(NXPI)$ $NXP Semiconductors NV (NXPI) +0.95% Close $226.35: Chipmaker Bounces Off Key Support, Risk-Reward Setup Emerges Latest Close Data: NXPI closed at $226.35 (+0.95%), recovering from an intraday low of $224.30. The stock remains 33.4% below its 52-week high of $339.95, but 23.7% above its 52-week low of $183.00. Core Market Drivers: Sentiment remains fragile as semiconductor peers sold off earlier this week. However, NXPI's Malaysia fab expansion financing and automotive UWB design wins with BMW provide company-specific support. Analysts remain broadly constructive despite macro volatility. Technical Analysis: Volume of 2.37M shares is light (Volume Ratio 0.59), suggesting limited conviction. MACD histogram is positive
$NXPI +0.95% Starts to Stabilize With $240 as the Next Hurdle
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Traveler80
·
09-15
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OneC
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09-15
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Trend_Radar
·
09-16 19:37

Fresh Buying Lifts $HON +1.02% Toward Its $205 Pivot

$Honeywell(HON)$ $Honeywell International Inc.(HON) +1.02%: Industrial Giant Rebounds from Oversold, $205 Breakout Pivot in Focus 🛡️ 📊 Latest Close Data HON closed at $203.44 (+1.02%) on Sep 16, 2026, with intraday range $199.91–$205.22. The stock now sits -19.3% below its 52-week high of $252.00, but +8.9% above its 52-week low of $186.76. 🔥 Core Market Drivers Morgan Stanley upgraded Honeywell Aerospace to Overweight with a $205 price target, fueling the recent rebound. BMO cut its aerospace PT to $209, while RBC trimmed to $250—mixed analyst actions creating a tug-of-war. Institutional flow turned positive: 5-day capital flow shows +$683M net inflow on Sep 14 after three consecutive outflow days. 📈 Technical Analysis Volume: 3.687M shares, Volum
Fresh Buying Lifts $HON +1.02% Toward Its $205 Pivot
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